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Incyte (NAS:INCY) Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.01% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Incyte's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Incyte's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Incyte Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Incyte's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Incyte's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Incyte Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.82

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Incyte  (NAS:INCY) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Incyte Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Incyte (NAS:INCY) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Incyte Corp (NAS:INCY) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1801 Augustine Cut-Off, Wilmington, DE, USA, 19803
Incyte focuses on the discovery and development of small-molecule drugs. The firm's lead drug, Jakafi, treats two types of rare blood cancer and graft versus host disease and is partnered with Novartis. Incyte's other marketed drugs include rheumatoid arthritis treatment Olumiant (licensed to Lilly), and oncology drugs Iclusig (chronic myeloid leukemia), Pemazyre (cholangiocarcinoma), Tabrecta (lung cancer), and Monjuvi (diffuse large B-cell lymphoma). The firm's first dermatology product, Opzelura, was approved in 2021 for atopic dermatitis and 2022 for vitiligo. Incyte's pipeline includes a broad array of oncology and dermatology programs.
Executives
Steven H Stein officer: EVP & Chief Medical Officer 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF, WILMINGTON DE 19803
Vijay K Iyengar officer: EVP GPS, BD, & Licensing 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF, WILMINGTON DE 19803
Thomas Tray officer: Principal Accounting Officer C/O INCYTE CORPORATION, 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF, WILMINGTON DE 19803
Sheila A. Denton officer: EVP & General Counsel 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF, WILMINGTON DE 19803
Paul J Clancy director C/O BIOGEN IDEC INC., 14 CAMBRIDGE CENTER, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Edmund Harrigan director C/O ACADIA PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 12830 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 400, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Paula J Swain other: Exec VP, Human Resources C/O INCYTE CORPORATION, 3160 PORTER DRIVE, PALO LATO CA 94304
Pablo J Cagnoni officer: President, R&D ONYX PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 249 E. GRAND AVE., SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Maria E Pasquale officer: EVP & General Counsel C/O INCYTE CORPORATION, 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF, WILMINGTON DE 19803
Dashyant Dhanak officer: EVP & Chief Scientific Officer C/O INCYTE CORPORATION, 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT-OFF, WILMINGTON DE 19803
Susanne Schaffert director C/O RUBIUS THERAPEUTICS, INC., 399 BINNEY STREET, SUITE 300, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Barry P Flannelly officer: See Remarks ROUTE 141 AND HENRY CLAY ROAD, WILMINGTON DE 19880
Baker Bros. Advisors Lp director, 10 percent owner 860 WASHINGTON STREET, 3RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
Jonathan Elliott Dickinson officer: EVP, General Manager, Europe CARE OF INCYTE CORPORATION, 1801 AUGUSTINE CUT OFF, WILMINGTON DE 19803
Wendy L Dixon director