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ITHUF (iAnthus Capital Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 82.84% (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is iAnthus Capital Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, iAnthus Capital Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 82.84%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of iAnthus Capital Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, iAnthus Capital Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


iAnthus Capital Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, iAnthus Capital Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where iAnthus Capital Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



iAnthus Capital Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=1.57

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=82.84%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


iAnthus Capital Holdings  (OTCPK:ITHUF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


iAnthus Capital Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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iAnthus Capital Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
214 King Street, Suite 314, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5H 3S6
iAnthus Capital Holdings Inc owns and operates licensed cannabis cultivators, processors, and dispensaries throughout the United States. The company's operating segments include the Eastern Region and Western Region. It generates a majority of its revenue from the Eastern Region. The Eastern Region includes the company's operations in Florida, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York, New Jersey, Vermont, and its CBD business. Its Western Region includes the company's operations in Arizona, Colorado, and Nevada.
Executives
Proud Richard C. Jr. director, officer: CEO and Director 8253 PARSONS PASS, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Alexander Shoghi director SUITE 1550, 300 WEST 6TH STREET, AUSTIN TX 78701
John Alexander Paterson director 2 WENDIGO WAY, TORONTO A6 M6S2T9
Gotham Green Partners Llc 10 percent owner 1437 4TH STREET, SANTA MONICA CA 90401
Philippe Faraut officer: Chief Financial Officer 420 LEXINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 414, NEW YORK NY 10170
Kenneth W Gilbert director C/O THE WENDY'S COMPANY, ONE DAVE THOMAS BLVD., DUBLIN OH 43017
Julius Kalcevich officer: Chief Financial Officer 420 LEXINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 414, NEW YORK NY 10170
Robert R Galvin officer: Interim CEO and COO
Senvest Management, Llc director, 10 percent owner, other: (See Remarks) 540 MADISON AVENUE, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Marco Dattanasio director 420 LEXINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 414, NEW YORK NY 10170
Scott Herman Cohen director 420 LEXINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 414, NEW YORK NY 10170
Zachary Arrick director 420 LEXINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 414, NEW YORK NY 10170
Mich J Mathews-spradlin director ONE DAVE THOMAS BLVD., DUBLIN OH 43017
Oasis Investments Ii Master Fund Ltd. 10 percent owner UGLAND HOUSE PO BOX 309, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1104
Seth Fischer 10 percent owner C/O OASIS MANAGEMENT (HONG KONG) LLC, 21/F MAN YEE BUILDING, 68 DES VOEUX ROAD, CENTRAL K3