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LHC.U (Leo Holdings II) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Mar. 04, 2025)


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What is Leo Holdings II Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Leo Holdings II's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Leo Holdings II's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Shell Companies subindustry, Leo Holdings II's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Leo Holdings II's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, Leo Holdings II's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Leo Holdings II's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


Leo Holdings II Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Leo Holdings II  (NYSE:LHC.U) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Leo Holdings II Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Leo Holdings II Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Leo Holdings Corp II (NYSE:LHC.U) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Comparable Companies
HHLA ALCY HCMA CHEA MBAC NSTC ESHA ROSS NSTD KRNL PBAJ SVMB SCRM CVII AAC GHIX ALCC AACT DWAC SAGA
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
South Ocean Boulevard, Albany Financial Center, Suite 507, P.O. Box SP-63158, New Providence, Nassau, BHS, 90401
Website
Leo Holdings Corp II is a blank check company.
Executives
Boothbay Fund Management, Llc 10 percent owner 140 EAST 45TH STREET, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Jeffrey A Altman 10 percent owner 640 FIFTH AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Owl Creek Asset Management, L.p. 10 percent owner 640 FIFTH AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Mark Masinter director C/O LEO HOLDINGS, 100 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, LOS ANGELES CA 90401
Mary E Minnick director 1225 SEVENTEENTH STREET, SUITE 1000, DENVER CO 80202
Edward C Forst director 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
Lori H Bush director NU SKIN ENTERPRISES INC, 75 WEST CENTER, PROVO UT 84601
Lyndon Lea director 21 GROSVENOR PLACE, LONDON X0 SW1X 7HF
Robert Darwent director 21 GROSVENOR PLACE, LONDON X0 SW1X 7HF
Leo Investors Ii Limited Partnership 10 percent owner 100 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, LOS ANGELES CA 90401
Naveen Agarwal director C/O LEO HOLDINGS, 100 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, LOS ANGELES CA 90401