Croma Security Solutions Group (LSE:CSSG) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00% (As of Jul. 10, 2026)


LSE:CSSG Croma Security Solutions Group PLC LSE:CSSG
40 GF Score
Price £0.69
GF Value £0.89
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Croma Security Solutions Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Croma Security Solutions Group LSE:CSSG 40 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jul. 10, 2026. GuruFocus rates LSE:CSSG with a GF Score™ of 40/100 and a GF Value™ of £0.89 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Croma Security Solutions Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Croma Security Solutions Group  (LSE:CSSG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Croma Security Solutions Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

LSE:CSSG vs ALLE, MSA, ADT: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, Croma Security Solutions Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Croma Security Solutions Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Croma Security Solutions Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Croma Security Solutions Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


LSE:CSSG
40GF Score
Croma Security Solutions Group PLC LSE:CSSG
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Croma Security Solutions Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.93

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% mean?
Croma Security Solutions Group (LSE:CSSG) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% as of Jul. 10, 2026.
Is Croma Security Solutions Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Croma Security Solutions Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Overall, Croma Security Solutions Group has a GF Score™ of 40/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Croma Security Solutions Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to ALLE and MSA?
Croma Security Solutions Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% can be compared against companies in the Business Services industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Business Services company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Croma Security Solutions Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Croma Security Solutions Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Croma Security Solutions Group (LSE:CSSG) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is £0.89, compared to a current price of £0.69 — trading 23% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Croma Security Solutions Group's overall GF Score™ is 40/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Croma Security Solutions Group (LSE:CSSG), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jul. 10, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Croma Security Solutions Group (LSE:CSSG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Croma Security Solutions Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of £0.69 is trading 23% below its estimated GF Value™ of £0.89. GuruFocus considers Croma Security Solutions Group to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for LSE:CSSG:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00%
  • GF Value™: £0.89 vs. price of £0.69 (23% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 40/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LSE:CSSG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Croma Security Solutions Group Business Description

Address Solent Way, Unit 7 and 8, Fulcrum 4, Fareham, Whiteley, Hampshire, GBR, PO15 7FT
Croma Security Solutions Group PLC is a UK-based company providing security services through its segments, Croma Fire and Security and Croma Locksmiths (Locks), which generate the majority of revenue. The company focuses on asset protection through CCTV security, fire, alarm systems, identity management, and access control. It supplies, installs, and maintains locks, padlocks, safes, ironmongery, UPVC mechanisms, security shutters, grilles, and doors. Additionally, it designs, installs, monitors, and maintains intruder alarm systems, fire and life safety systems, access control systems, perimeter detection systems, barriers, gates, bollards, and industrial and automatic doors/shutters. The services include security systems, fire services, and locksmith services.
40GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LSE:CSSG

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

£0.69
Price
£0.89
GF Value