RTC Group (LSE:RTC) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


LSE:RTC RTC Group PLC LSE:RTC
61 GF Score
Price £1.01
GF Value £0.83
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
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What is RTC Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

RTC Group LSE:RTC 61 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates LSE:RTC with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of £0.83 (Modestly Overvalued).

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, RTC Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


RTC Group  (LSE:RTC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


RTC Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


LSE:RTC vs KFY, RHI, TNET: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Staffing & Employment Services subindustry, RTC Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


RTC Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, RTC Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where RTC Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


LSE:RTC
61GF Score
RTC Group PLC LSE:RTC
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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RTC Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.89

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
RTC Group (LSE:RTC) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Jun. 27, 2026.
Is RTC Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
RTC Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, RTC Group has a GF Score™ of 61/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does RTC Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to KFY and RHI?
RTC Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Business Services industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Business Services company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. RTC Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is RTC Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, RTC Group (LSE:RTC) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is £0.83, compared to a current price of £1.01 — trading 21.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. RTC Group's overall GF Score™ is 61/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For RTC Group (LSE:RTC), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is RTC Group (LSE:RTC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, RTC Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of £1.01 is trading 21.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of £0.83. GuruFocus considers RTC Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for LSE:RTC:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
  • GF Value™: £0.83 vs. price of £1.01 (21.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100

No single metric tells the full story. See the LSE:RTC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


RTC Group Business Description

Address London Road, The Derby Conference Centre, Derby, GBR, DE24 8UX
RTC Group PLC is a holding company. Along with its subsidiaries, it is engaged in the provision of engineering and technical recruitment services that provide temporary and permanent labor to a broad range of industries and customers in both domestic and international markets. It focuses on white and blue-collar recruitment, providing temporary, permanent, and contingent staff to a range of industries and clients in both domestic and international markets. The Group's operating segments include UK Recruitment, UK Central Services, and International Recruitment. The majority of its revenues are generated from the UK Recruitment segment. Geographically, the group derives maximum revenue from the United Kingdom, and the rest from the United States and the Middle East.
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LSE:RTC

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

£1.01
Price
£0.83
GF Value