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MPAA (Motorcar Parts of America) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.15% (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is Motorcar Parts of America Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Motorcar Parts of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.15%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Motorcar Parts of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Motorcar Parts of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Motorcar Parts of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Motorcar Parts of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Motorcar Parts of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Motorcar Parts of America Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.48

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.15%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Motorcar Parts of America  (NAS:MPAA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Motorcar Parts of America Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Motorcar Parts of America Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2929 California Street, Torrance, CA, USA, 90503
Motorcar Parts of America Inc is a supplier of automotive aftermarket non-discretionary replacement parts and test solutions and diagnostic equipment. It operate in the non-discretionary automotive aftermarket for replacement hard parts in North America and includes products such as light-duty rotating electrical products, wheel hub products, brake-related products, and turbochargers. In addition, it sell test solutions and diagnostic equipment. The company operates in three segments Hard Parts, Test Solutions and Diagnostic Equipment and Heavy Duty. Key revenue is generated from Hard Parts, which includes (i) light duty rotating electric products such as alternators and starters, (ii) wheel hub products, (iii) brake-related products, including brake calipers, brake boosters, brake rotors.
Executives
Joseph Edwin Ferguson director 5103 SOUTH GARTH AVENUE, LOS ANGELES CA 90056
David Bryan director 605 STAPP ROAD, BOULDER CREEK CA 95006
Philip Gay director 6300 CANOGA AVENUE, SUITE 1700, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367
Bison Capital Partners Vi, L.p. director 233 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 425, SANTA MONICA CA 90401
Bison Capital Partners Vi-a, L.p. director 233 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 425, SANTA MONICA CA 90401
Douglas B Trussler director 39 EAST UNION STREET, PASADENA CA 91103
Patricia W Warfield director 2929 CALIFORNIA STREET, TORRANCE CA 90503
Rudolph J Borneo director 50 O'FARRELL STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94108
Richard K Mochulsky officer: Vice President, Sales 2929 CALIFORNIA STREET, TORRANCE CA 90505
Joffe Selwyn director, officer: President, CEO & Chairman
Kamlesh Shah officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA, INC., 2929 CALIFORNIA STREET, TORRANCE CA 90503
David Sung Lee officer: CFO 2929 CALIFORNIA STREET, TORRANCE CA 90503
Duane Franklin Miller director 7811 FIELDSTONE RIDGE, CLARKSTON MI 48348
Jamy P. Rankin director C/O MOTOR CAR PARTS OF AMERICA, INC., 2929 CALIFORNIA STREET, TORRANCE CA 90503
Juliet Lynn Stone officer: VP, Gen Counsel and Secretary C/O MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA, INC., 2020 CALIFORNIA STREET, TORRANCE CA 90503