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MasTec (NYSE:MTZ) Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.02% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, MasTec's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


MasTec (NYSE:MTZ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitive Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, MasTec's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

MasTec (NYSE:MTZ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, MasTec's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MasTec's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



MasTec Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.74

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


MasTec  (NYSE:MTZ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


MasTec Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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MasTec (NYSE:MTZ) Business Description

MasTec logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Construction » MasTec Inc (NYSE:MTZ) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
800 S. Douglas Road, 12th Floor, Coral Gables, FL, USA, 33134
MasTec Inc is a leading infrastructure construction company operating primarily throughout North America. Its principal activities include engineering, building, installation, maintenance, and upgrades of communications, energy, and utility infrastructure. The company installs wireless, wireline, and satellite communications; oil and gas pipeline infrastructure; conventional and renewable power generation; and other industrial systems. MasTec has five operating segments: Communications, Oil and Gas, Power Delivery, Clean Energy and Infrastructure, and Others. The majority of its revenue is derived from the Communications segments. The company markets services individually and in combination with other companies to provide a wide range of solutions for customers.
Executives
Parker Ava L director 1469 HARRINGTON PARK DRIVE JACKSONVILLE FL 32225
Palomarez Javier Alberto director 3405 PINNEY POINT DRIVE FLOWER MOUND TX 75022
Pita George officer: CFO 3000 NW 107TH AVENUE MIAMI FL 33172
Restrepo Daniel A director C/O MASTEC, INC. 800 S. DOUGLAS RD., 12TH FLOOR CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Harris Ray officer: President 800 DOUGLAS ROAD 12TH FLOOR - MASTEC CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Apple Robert E officer: Chief Operations Officer 800 S DOUGLAS ROAD 12TH FLOOR CORAL GABLES FL 33134
De Cardenas Alberto I officer: Executive Vice President 800 S DOUGLAS ROAD 12TH FLOOR CORAL GABLES X1 33134
Csiszar Ernst N director 2600 S RIVER ROAD DES PLAINES IL 60018
Floerke Gregory Scott officer: Chief Operations Officer C/O MARKWEST ENERGY PARTNERS, L.P. 1515 ARAPAHOE STREET, TOWER 1, SUITE 160 DENVER CO 80202
Dwyer Robert J director 880 SOUTH OCEAN BOULEVARD PALM BEACH FL 33480
Campbell C Robert officer: EVP & CFO 800 DOUGLAS ROAD 12TH FLOOR CORAL GABLES FL 33134
De Cespedes Carlos M director 3075 NW 107TH AVE MIAMI FL 33172
Jaumot Frank E director 190 SE 19TH AVENUE POMPANO BEACH FL 33060
Nearing Michael officer: General Counsel and EVP 800 DOUGLAS ROAD 12TH FL CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Hudson Sherrill W director 201 SOUTH BISCAYNE BOULEVARD 34TH FLOOR, MIAMI CENTER MIAMI FL 33131

MasTec (NYSE:MTZ) Headlines

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