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Cirrus Logic Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.03% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cirrus Logic's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Semiconductors subindustry, Cirrus Logic's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Cirrus Logic Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Cirrus Logic's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cirrus Logic's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Cirrus Logic Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.96

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Cirrus Logic  (NAS:CRUS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Cirrus Logic Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Cirrus Logic Business Description

Cirrus Logic logo
Industry
Technology » Semiconductors NAICS : 334413 SIC : 3674
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
800 West 6th Street, Austin, TX, USA, 78701
Cirrus Logic Inc is a provider of integrated circuits for audio and voice signal processing applications. The firm's products are organized into two streams: portable audio products, and non-portable audio and other products. These products include analog and mixed-signal components targeting mobile devices, smart homes, and applications in the automotive, energy, and industrial markets. Roughly half of the firm's revenue is generated in China, with the rest coming from the United States, Europe, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, and countries across the world.
Executives
Baumgartner Jeffrey W officer: VP of R&D 800 W. 6TH STREET AUSTIN TX 78701
Lego Catherine P director 3787 WOODSIDE ROAD WOODSIDE CA 94062
Carter John C director 800 WEST 6TH STREET AUSTIN TX 78701
Forsyth John officer: President 800 W. 6TH STREET AUSTIN TX 78701
Hanford Deirdre director 700 EAST MIDDLEFIELD ROAD MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 9403
Tupman David J. director 1028 CHURCH ST. SAN FRANCISCO CA 94114
Schuele Alan R director C/O SEVIN ROSEN FUNDS 13455 NOEL RD #1670 DALLAS TX 75240
Dehne Timothy R director C/O NATIONAL INSTRUMENTS 11500 MOPAC BLDG B AUSTIN TX 78759
Davern Alexander M director C/O NATIONAL INSTRUMENTS 11500 MOPAC BLDG C AUSTIN TX 78759
Anderson Scott Arnold officer: Senior VP of Supply Chain 1303 E ALGONQUIN RD SCHAUMBURG IL 60196
Rhode Jason P director, officer: CEO 2901 VIA FORTUNA AUSTIN TX 78746
Fluke Bradley J officer: VP & GM, MEMS Division 400 W CESAR CHAVEZ AUSTIN TX 78701
Case Thurman K officer: VP & CFO C/O CIRUS LOGIC INC 2901 VIA FORTUNA AUSTIN TX 78746
Benson Jodee officer: VP & Chief Culture Office 2901 VIA FORTUNA AUSTIN TX 78746
Thomas Scott officer: SVP General Counsel & Corp C/O CIRRUS LOGIC INC 800 WEST 6TH STREET AUSTIN TX 78701

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