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Fox Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.01% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Fox's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Broadcasting subindustry, Fox's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Fox Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Fox's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fox's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Fox Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.41

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Fox  (NAS:FOX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Fox Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Fox's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Fox Business Description

Fox logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1211 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY, USA, 10036
Fox represents the assets not sold to Disney by the predecessor firm, Twenty First Century Fox. The remaining assets include Fox News, the FOX broadcast network, FS1 and FS2, Fox Business, Big Ten Network, 28 owned and operated local television stations of which 17 are affiliated with the Fox Network, and the Fox Studios lot. The Murdoch family continues to control the successor firm, which represents a large-scale bet on the value of live sports and news in the U.S. market.
Executives
Hernandez Roland A director 300 NORTH SAN RAFAEL AVE PASADENA CA 91105
Murdoch Lachlan K director, officer: Executive Chairman, CEO C/O NEWS AMERICA INCORPORATED 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS NEW YORK NY 10036
Murdoch Keith Rupert director, officer: Chairman C/O FOX CORPORATION 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS NEW YORK NY 10036
Nallen John officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O NEWS AMERICA INCORPORATED 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS NEW YORK NY 10036
Nasser Jacques A director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: NASSER JACQUES A a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Carey Chase director C/O NEWS AMERICA INCORPORATED 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS NEW YORK NY 10036
Dinh Viet D officer: Chief Legal and Policy Officer GEORGETOWN UNIVERSITY LAW CENTER 600 NEW JERSEY AVENUE NW WASHINGTON DC 20001
Tomsic Steven officer: Chief Financial Officer 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS NEW YORK NY 10036
Ryan Paul D director 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS NEW YORK NY 10036
Dias Anne director 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS NEW YORK NY 10036
Cruden Financial Services Llc 10 percent owner C/O MCDONALD CARANO WILSON LLP 100 LIBERTY STREET RENO NV 89501
Murdoch Family Trust 10 percent owner C/O MCDONALD CARANO WILSON LLP 100 LIBERTY STREET RENO NV 89501
Twenty-first Century Fox, Inc. 10 percent owner 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS NEW YORK NY 10036

Fox Headlines

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