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Resources Connection Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.01% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Resources Connection's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Consulting Services subindustry, Resources Connection's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Resources Connection Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Resources Connection's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Resources Connection's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Resources Connection Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.97

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Resources Connection  (NAS:RGP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Resources Connection Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Resources Connection's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Resources Connection Business Description

Resources Connection logo
Industry
Industrials » Business Services NAICS : 561499 SIC : 7389
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
17101 Armstrong Avenue, Suite 100, Irvine, CA, USA, 92614
Resources Connection Inc provides consulting and business initiative support services primarily through its operative subsidiary, Resources Global Professionals. The company offers transformation and improvement, financial reporting and analysis, strategy development, and program and project management services and support. Its clients operate in the accounting, finance, corporate governance, risk and compliance management, corporate advisory, strategic communications and restructuring, information management, human capital, supply chain management, and legal and regulatory sectors.
Executives
Duchene Kate W director, officer: President & CEO C/O RESOURCES CONNECTION 695 TOWN CENTER DR COSTA MESA CA 92626
Ryu Jennifer Y officer: CFO 17101 ARMSTRONG AVENUE IRVINE CA 92614
Pisano A Robert director C/O RESOURCES CONNECTION 695 TOWN CENTER DR COSTA MESA CA 92626
Von Maltzan Marco director 17101 ARMSTRONG AVE #100 RGP IRVINE CA 92614
Crawford Susan J director 17101 ARMSTRONG AVE IRVINE CA 92614
Shih Anne director 17101 ARMSTRONG AVENUE IRVINE CA 92614
Wargotz Michael H director AXCESS WORLDWIDE 515 MADISON AVE., 15TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10022
Cherbak Anthony director 695 TOWN CENTER DRIVE SUITE 600 COSTA MESA CA 92626
Kistinger Robert F director 17101 ARMSTRONG AVE IRVINE CA 92614
Sykes Jolene director 695 TOWN CENTER DRIVE SUITE 606 COSTA MESA CA 92626
Dimick Neil F director BUILDING 4, TRIDENT PLACE MOSQUITO WAY HATFIELD, HERTFORDSHIRE X0 AL10 9UL
Brackney Timothy L officer: President and COO 12 ANDERSON WAY MENLO PARK CA 94025
Bower John D officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O RESOURCES CONNECTION 695 TOWN CENTER DR COSTA MESA CA 92626
Murray Donald B director RESOURCES CONNECTION 695 TOWN CTR DR STE 600 COSTA MESA CA 92626
Mueller Herbert M officer: CFO & EVP PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: MUELLER HERBERT M a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}

Resources Connection Headlines

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