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General Electric Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.12% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, General Electric Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.12%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, General Electric Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

General Electric Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, General Electric Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where General Electric Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



General Electric Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.71

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.12%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


General Electric Co  (NYSE:GE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


General Electric Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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General Electric Co Business Description

General Electric Co logo
Industry
Industrials » Industrial Products NAICS : 335312 SIC : 3621
Address
5 Necco Street, Boston, MA, USA, 02210
GE was formed through the combination of two companies in 1892, including one with historical ties to American inventor Thomas Edison. Today, GE is a global leader in air travel, precision health, and in the energy transition. The company is known for its differentiated technology and its massive industrial installed base of equipment sprawled throughout the world. That installed base most notably includes aerospace engines, gas and steam turbines, onshore and offshore wind turbines, as well as medical diagnostic and mobile equipment. GE earns most of its profits on the service revenue of that equipment, which is generally higher-margin. The company is led by former Danaher alum Larry Culp who is leading a multi-year turnaround of the storied conglomerate based on Lean principles.
Executives
Horton Thomas W director 4333 AMON CARTER BLVD. FORTH WORTH TX 76155
Rosput Paula G director 605 HILLSIDE DRIVE EAST SEATTLE WA 98112
Trian Fund Management, L.p. director 280 PARK AVENUE 41ST FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10017
Garden Edward P director 280 PARK AVE 41ST FL NEW YORK NY 10017
Lavizzo-mourey Risa J director GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY 5 NECCO STREET BOSTON MA 02210
Tisch James S director 667 MADISON AVE NEW YORK NY 10021
Bazin Sebastien director 5 NECCO STREET 5 NECCO STREET BOSTON MA 02210
Dsouza Francisco director 500 GLENPOINTE CENTRE W TEANECK NJ 07666
Seidman Leslie director 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Lesjak Catherine A director 1501 PAGE MILL RD PALO ALTO CA 94304
Carter Ashton B director C/O DELTA AIR LINES, INC. P.O. BOX 20574, DEPT. 981 ATLANTA GA 30320
Pecresse Jerome officer: Senior Vice President 5 NECCO STREET BOSTON MA 02210
Murphy Kieran Pius officer: Senior Vice President THE GROVE CENTRE,WHITE LION ROAD LITTLE CHALFONT X0 HP7 9LL
Joyce David Leon officer: Vice Chairman GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY 5 NECCO STREET BOSTON MA 02210
Stokes Russell officer: Senior Vice President 5 NECCO STREET BOSTON MA 02210

General Electric Co Headlines

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