>
Switch to:

Public Service Enterprise Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.02% (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 1986. Start your Free Trial

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Public Service Enterprise Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Utilities - Diversified subindustry, Public Service Enterprise Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Public Service Enterprise Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Public Service Enterprise Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Public Service Enterprise Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Public Service Enterprise Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.78

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Public Service Enterprise Group  (NYSE:PEG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Public Service Enterprise Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Public Service Enterprise Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Public Service Enterprise Group Business Description

Public Service Enterprise Group logo
Industry
Utilities » Utilities - Regulated NAICS : 221121 SIC : 4911
Address
80 Park Plaza, Newark, NJ, USA, 07102
Public Service Enterprise Group is the holding company for a regulated utility (PSE&G) and other nonregulated businesses such as nuclear power generation and clean energy infrastructure. PSE&G provides regulated gas and electricity delivery services in New Jersey to a combined 4 million customers. PSEG also operates the Long Island Power Authority system. In 2022, PSEG sold its gas and oil power plants in the Mid-Atlantic, New York, and the Northeast.
Executives
Larossa Ralph A officer: COO PSEG 80 PARK PLAZA NEWARK NJ 07102
Chernick Rose M officer: Vice President and Controller 80 PARK PLAZA, T4B NEWARK NJ 07102
Jackson Shirley A director 110 8TH STREEET TROY NY 12180-3590
Zollar Alfred W director C/O LOTUS SOFTWARE ONE ROGER STREET CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Stephenson Scott G director C/O VERISK ANALYTICS, INC. 545 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD JERSEY CITY NJ 07310-1686
Deese Willie A director DENTSPLY SIRONA INC 13320 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Tomasky Susan director AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER 1 RIVERSIDE PLAZA COLUMBUS OH 43215
Ostrowsky Barry H director RWJBARNABAS HEALTH 95 OLD SHORT HILLS ROAD WEST ORANGE NJ 07052
Lilley David director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: LILLEY DAVID a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Surma John P director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: SURMA JOHN P a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Sugg Laura A director ONE BRIARLAKE PLAZA, SUITE 2000 2000 WEST SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY SOUTH HOUSTON TX 77042
Cregg Daniel J officer: Executive VP & CFO 80 PARK PLAZA, T4 NEWARK NJ 07102
Izzo Ralph director, officer: Chairman, President and CEO PSEG 80 PARK PLAZA T6B NEWARK NJ 07102-4194
Daly David Matthew officer: President - PSE&G 80 PARK PLAZA, T4 NEWARK NJ 07102
Dirisio Derek M officer: President, PSEG Services Corp. PSEG 80 PARK PLAZA NEWARK NJ 07102

Public Service Enterprise Group Headlines

Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)