Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Jinhui Shipping and Transportation's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Jinhui Shipping and Transportation (OSL:JIN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Jinhui Shipping and Transportation Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
Jinhui Shipping and Transportation Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitor Comparison
For the Marine Shipping subindustry, Jinhui Shipping and Transportation's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Jinhui Shipping and Transportation Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Transportation Industry
For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Jinhui Shipping and Transportation's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Jinhui Shipping and Transportation's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Jinhui Shipping and Transportation Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-8.62
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
Jinhui Shipping and Transportation (OSL:JIN) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Jun. 27, 2026.
Is Jinhui Shipping and Transportation's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Jinhui Shipping and Transportation's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, Jinhui Shipping and Transportation has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Jinhui Shipping and Transportation's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to competitors?
Jinhui Shipping and Transportation's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Transportation company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Jinhui Shipping and Transportation's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Jinhui Shipping and Transportation stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Jinhui Shipping and Transportation (OSL:JIN) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is kr6.92, compared to a current price of kr6.10 — trading 11.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Jinhui Shipping and Transportation's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Jinhui Shipping and Transportation (OSL:JIN), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Jinhui Shipping and Transportation (OSL:JIN) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Jinhui Shipping and Transportation stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of kr6.10 is trading 11.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of kr6.92.
GuruFocus considers Jinhui Shipping and Transportation to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for OSL:JIN:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
GF Value™: kr6.92 vs. price of kr6.10 (11.8% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the OSL:JIN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Jinhui Shipping and Transportation Business Description
Jinhui Shipping and Transportation Ltd is engaged in the business of ship chartering and ship owning which are carried out internationally. The company is the owner of dry bulk vessels offering high quality marine transportation services. It operates a diverse fleet of dry bulk carriers, encompassing a range of sizes from Supramax to Capesize. It operates in single segment of ship chartering and ship owning. Geographically, its operations are spread across China, Singapore, Japan, Norway, United Arab Emirates, Denmark, South Korea, Switzerland, Germany, and other countries with majority of the revenue deriving from China.
74GF Score
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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