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Sonic Foundry Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.08% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Sonic Foundry's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Sonic Foundry's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Sonic Foundry Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Sonic Foundry's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sonic Foundry's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Sonic Foundry Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.14

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.08%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Sonic Foundry  (OTCPK:SOFO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Sonic Foundry Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Sonic Foundry Business Description

Sonic Foundry logo
Industry
Technology » Software NAICS : 511210 SIC : 7372
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
222 W. Washington Avenue, Madison, WI, USA, 53703
Sonic Foundry Inc is engaged in the business of providing video enterprise solutions and services for the digital-first, distance learning, and corporate communications market. It offers video capture, management, and Webcasting solutions in education, business, and government. The company also offers video solutions, including Mediasite Video Platform, Mediasite Video Cloud, Mediasite Capture Solutions, Mediasite Events, Mediasite Services, and Mediasite Customer Care. The company has a geographical presence in the United States, Europe, and the Middle East, Asia, and other places.
Executives
Burish Mark D director, 10 percent owner HURLEY, BURISH, MILLIKEN S.C. 301 NORTH BROOM STREET MADISON WI 53703
Kopko Frederick H Jr director 4901 S ELLIS AVE CHICAGO IL 60615
Murphy Nelson A director 2300 W INNES ST SALISBURY NC 28144
Wiegand Brian director 8215 GREENWAY BLVD, SUITE 340 MIDDLETON WI 53562
Slayton David director 701 WASHINGTON AVE N. SUITE #400 MINNEAPOLIS WI 55401
Norregaard Michael officer: Chief Executive Officer 4891 ENCHANTED VALLEY ROAD MIDDLETON WI 53562
Burish Andrew D. 10 percent owner 8020 EXCELSIOR DRIVE MADISON WI 53717
Minor Kenneth A officer: Chief Financial Officer PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: MINOR KENNETH A a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Weis Gary director, officer: Chief Executive Officer & CTO PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: WEIS GARY a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Lipps Robert M officer: Executive Vice President Sales 222 W. WASHINGTON AVE. MADISON WI 53703
Kleinman David director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: KLEINMAN DAVID a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Peercy Paul S director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: PEERCY PAUL S a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Michael Janowiak director 549 W RANDOLPH #600 CHICAGO IL 60651
Buinevicius Rimas director, officer: Chairman & Strategy Officer PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: BUINEVICIUS RIMAS a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Schmidt Monty director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Technology Officer PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: SCHMIDT MONTY a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
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