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RPID (Rapid Micro Biosystems) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.58% (As of Mar. 14, 2025)


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What is Rapid Micro Biosystems Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Rapid Micro Biosystems's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.58%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Rapid Micro Biosystems's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Devices subindustry, Rapid Micro Biosystems's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rapid Micro Biosystems's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Rapid Micro Biosystems's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rapid Micro Biosystems's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Rapid Micro Biosystems Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.14

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.58%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Rapid Micro Biosystems  (NAS:RPID) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Rapid Micro Biosystems Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Rapid Micro Biosystems Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1001 Pawtucket Boulevard West, Suite 280, Lowell, MA, USA, 01854
Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc is an life sciences technology company providing mission critical automation solutions to facilitate the efficient manufacturing and fast, safe release of healthcare products such as biologics, vaccines, cell and gene therapies, and sterile injectables. The company's flagship Growth Direct platform automates and modernizes the antiquated, manual microbial quality control (MQC) testing workflows used in the pharmaceutical manufacturing operations across the globe. It derives revenue from development, manufacturing, marketing and selling Systems and related LIMS connection software, consumables and services.
Executives
Melinda Litherland Pei director 1000 ALFRED NOBEL DRIVE, HERCULES CA 94547
Kirk Malloy director 5200 ILLUMINA WAY, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Sean M Wirtjes officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O VARIAN, INC., 3120 HANSEN WAY, M/S D-083, PALO ALTO CA 94304-1030
Spignesi Robert G. Jr. director, officer: President and CEO C/O RAPID MICRO BIOSYSTEMS, INC., 1001 PAWTUCKET BOULEVARD WEST, SUITE 280, LOWELL MA 01854
Richard S Kollender director C/O QUAKER BIOVENTURES, CIRA CENTRE, 2929 ARCH STREET, 3RD FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104-2868
Kennedy Lewis Capital Partners Master Fund Ii Lp 10 percent owner 111 WEST 33RD STREET, SUITE 1910, NEW YORK NY 10120
Darren Richman 10 percent owner 80 BROAD STREET, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10004
Klm Gp Llc 10 percent owner 80 BROAD STREET, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10004
Kennedy Lewis Investment Management Llc 10 percent owner 80 BROAD STREET, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10004
Kennedy Lewis Management Lp 10 percent owner 225 LIBERTY STREET, SUITE 4210, NEW YORK NY 10281
David Chene 10 percent owner 80 BROAD STREET, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10004
Kennedy Lewis Capital Partners Master Fund Iii Lp 10 percent owner 111 WEST 33RD STREET, SUITE 1910, NEW YORK NY 10120
Kennedy Lewis Gp Iii Llc 10 percent owner 111 WEST 33RD STREET, SUITE 1910, NEW YORK NY 10120
Kennedy Lewis Investment Holdings Ii Llc 10 percent owner 111 WEST 33RD STREET, SUITE 1910, NEW YORK NY 10120
Kennedy Lewis Gp Ii Llc 10 percent owner 111 WEST 33RD STREET, SUITE 1910, NEW YORK NY 10120