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RSLS (Reshape Lifesciences) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 17.39% (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is Reshape Lifesciences Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Reshape Lifesciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 17.39%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Reshape Lifesciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Devices subindustry, Reshape Lifesciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Reshape Lifesciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Reshape Lifesciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Reshape Lifesciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Reshape Lifesciences Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-1.56

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=17.39%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Reshape Lifesciences  (NAS:RSLS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Reshape Lifesciences Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Reshape Lifesciences Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
18 Technology Dr., Suite 110, Irvine, CA, USA, 92618
Reshape Lifesciences Inc is a medical device company focused on technologies to treat obesity and metabolic diseases. The company's current portfolio includes the LAP-BAND, an Adjustable Gastric Banding System, ReShapeCare virtual health coaching program, ReShape Market Place, including ReShape Optimize a supplemental multivitamin, the Obalon Balloon System, the first and only swallowable gas-filled balloon system, and the Diabetes Bloc-Stim Neuromodulation, a technology under development as a new treatment for type 2 diabetes mellitus.
Executives
Thomas Stankovich officer: Chief Financial Officer 1001 CALLE AMANECER, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
Paul F. Hickey director, officer: President and CEO 2800 PATTON ROAD, ST. PAUL MN 55113
Barton P. Bandy director 1001 CALLE AMANECER, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
Mcdougal Lori Courtney director 2800 PATTON ROAD, ST. PAUL MN 55113
Arda Phd Minocherhomjee director C/O CHICAGO GROWTH PARTNERS, 303 W MADISON ST., SUITE 2500, CHICAGO IL 60606
Dan W Gladney director 2800 PATTON ROAD, ST. PAUL MN 55113
Steven Boyd 10 percent owner 510 MADISON AVENUE, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Armistice Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 510 MADISON AVENUE, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Gary Blackford director 7700 FRANCE AVENUE SOUTH, EDINA MN 55435
Robert J Macdonald officer: Chief Retail Officer C/O OBALON THERAPEUTICS INC., 5421 AVENIDA ENCINAS, SUITE F, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Daina Schmidt officer: Vice President of Marketing C/O OBALON THERAPEUTICS, INC., 5421 AVENIDA ENCINAS, SUITE F, SAN DIEGO CA 92008
Gilbert H Kliman 10 percent owner C/O INTERWEST PARTNERS, 467 FIRST STREET SUITE 201, LOS ALTOS CA 94022
Arnold L Oronsky 10 percent owner C/O INTERWEST PARTNERS, 467 FIRST STREET SUITE 201, LOS ALTOS CA 94022
Khaled Nasr 10 percent owner 467 FIRST STREET, SUITE 201, LOS ALTOS X1 94022
Interwest Partners X Lp 10 percent owner C/O INTERWEST PARTNERS, 467 FIRST STREET SUITE 201, LOS ALTOS CA 94022