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SKAS (Saker Aviation Services) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is Saker Aviation Services Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Saker Aviation Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Saker Aviation Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Airports & Air Services subindustry, Saker Aviation Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Saker Aviation Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Saker Aviation Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Saker Aviation Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Saker Aviation Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.90

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Saker Aviation Services  (OTCPK:SKAS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Saker Aviation Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Saker Aviation Services Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
20 South Street, Pier 6 East River, New York, NY, USA, 10004
Saker Aviation Services Inc operates in aviation services. It serves as the operator of a heliport, a fixed base operation (FBO), a provider of aircraft maintenance, repair, and overhaul services, and a consultant for a non-owned seaplane base. The company focuses on safety, outstanding customer service, and personalized solutions and it offers full-service FBOs that provide products and services for commercial airlines, private and business jets, military aircraft, and rotor aircraft. Geographically, business activities are carried out throughout the region of the United States.
Executives
Roy Moskowitz director 20 SOUTH STREET, PIER 6 EAST RIVER, NEW YORK NY 10004
Mark N Raab officer: Acting Principal Fin. Officer C/O TECHSYS INC, 147 COLUMBIA TURNPIKE SUITE 109, FLORHAM PARK NJ 07932
Samuel D. Goldstein director 20 SOUTH STREET, PIER 6 EAST RIVER, NEW YORK NY 10004
Marc Chodock director 110 EAST 25TH STREET, 3RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10010
Acm Value Opportunities Fund I Gp, Llc other: See Footnote (2) C/O ARVICE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 110 EAST 25TH STREET, 3RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Arvice Capital Management, Llc other: See Footnote (2) 110 EAST 25TH STREET, 3RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Acm Value Opportunities Fund I, Lp other: See Footnote (2) C/O ARVICE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 110 EAST 25TH STREET, 3RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Ronald J Ricciardi director, officer: President and CEO 100 HANGAR ROAD, WILKES-BARRE/SCRANTON INTERNTL. AIRPORT, AVOCA PA 18641
Jeffrey B Mendell director JBM REALTY, 10 GLENVILLE STREET, GREENWICH CT 06831
Donald Hecht director 111 WEST 40TH ST, NEW YORK NY 10018
Alvin S Trenk director 44 ASPEN DRIVE, LIVINGSTON NJ 07039
William B Wachtel director, 10 percent owner 110 EAST 59TH ST, NEW YORK NY 10022
Gary E Hart officer: COO and Senior VP 236 SING SING ROAD, ELMIRA-CORNING REGIONAL AIRPORT, HORSEHEADS NY 14845
Stephen B Siegel director 200 PARK AVE, NEW YORK NY 10166
Thomas Iovino director C/O JUDLAW CONTRACTING, INC., 26-15 ULMER ST., COLLEGE POINT NY 11354