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Midea Group Co (SZSE:000333) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Mar. 27, 2025)


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What is Midea Group Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Midea Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Midea Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances subindustry, Midea Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Midea Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Industry

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Midea Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Midea Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


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Midea Group Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.76

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Midea Group Co  (SZSE:000333) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Midea Group Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Midea Group Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 6 Midea Avenue, Beijiao Town, Midea Headquarters Building, Shunde District, Guangdong Province, Foshan, CHN, 528311
Midea Group Co., Ltd. is one of the largest household appliance manufacturers in China, with key products such as air conditioners, refrigerators, washing machines and small household appliances. It is consistently ranked as one of the top three players in China by retail sales in most home appliance categories. The firm also engages in industrial automation and robotics systems through wholly owned Kuka, a global market leader based in Germany. Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning, or HVAC, products generally contribute the most to Midea's revenue, followed by other consumer appliances, and robotics and automation systems. In addition, Midea generates around 40% of sales outside China.
Executives
Li Guo Lin Executives
Zhang Xiao Yi Executives
Fang Hong Bo Directors, executives
Jiang Peng Secretary Dong
Liang Hui Ming Supervisors
Ou Yun Bin Securities Affairs Representative
Xiang Wei Min Executives
He Jian Feng Director
Zhu Feng Tao Executives
Mai Yu Fen Supervisors
Zhao Jun Supervisors
Li Jian Wei Director
Cai Qi Wu Directors, executives
Huang Xiao Ming Directors, executives
Yuan Li Qun Directors, executives

Midea Group Co Headlines

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