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Suntront Technology Co (SZSE:300259) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Apr. 17, 2025)


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What is Suntront Technology Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Suntront Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Suntront Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Electrical Equipment & Parts subindustry, Suntront Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Suntront Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Suntront Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Suntront Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


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Suntront Technology Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.03

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Suntront Technology Co  (SZSE:300259) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Suntront Technology Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Suntront Technology Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 252 Hongsong Road, High and New Tech Industrial Development Zone, Henan Province, Zhengzhou, CHN, 450001
Suntront Technology Co Ltd is a Chinese manufacturer of smart meters. It develops smart meter technologies and solutions for use in the electricity, gas and water utility and distribution industries in China. The product portfolio of the company covers smart water meters, smart heat meters, gas meters, smart energy meters, AMR system, remote devices, and other products.
Executives
Liu Chang Executives
Xu Wen Liang Executives
Chang Ming Song Directors, executives
Li Jian Director
Liu Sheng Li Directors, executives
Wang Jun Director
Fei Zhan Bo Director
Yang Dong Ling Director, Securities Affairs Representative
Song Hong Liang Supervisors
Li Jian Wei Supervisors
Fei Zhan Jun Directors, executives
Lin An Xiu Executives
Wei Dong Lin Director
Yuan Jin Long Directors, executives
Zheng Yong Feng Supervisors

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