Danen Technology (TPE:3686) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02% (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


TPE:3686 Danen Technology Corp TPE:3686
60 GF Score
Price NT$17.35
GF Value NT$30.85
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Danen Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Danen Technology TPE:3686 -0.29% 60 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates TPE:3686 with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of NT$30.85 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Danen Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Danen Technology  (TPE:3686) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Danen Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


TPE:3686 vs FSLR, NXT, ENPH: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Solar subindustry, Danen Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Danen Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Danen Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Danen Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


TPE:3686
60GF Score
Danen Technology Corp TPE:3686
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Danen Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.56

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
Danen Technology (TPE:3686) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Jun. 24, 2026.
Is Danen Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Danen Technology's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, Danen Technology has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Danen Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to FSLR and NXT?
Danen Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Semiconductors industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Semiconductors company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Semiconductors industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Danen Technology's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Danen Technology stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Danen Technology (TPE:3686) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$30.85, compared to a current price of NT$17.35 — trading 43.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Danen Technology's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Danen Technology (TPE:3686), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Danen Technology (TPE:3686) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Danen Technology stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NT$17.35 is trading 43.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of NT$30.85. GuruFocus considers Danen Technology to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for TPE:3686:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
  • GF Value™: NT$30.85 vs. price of NT$17.35 (43.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the TPE:3686 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Danen Technology Business Description

Address No. 118, Ciyun Road, 19th Floor-8, East District, Hsinchu City, TWN, 300
Danen Technology Corp is mainly engaged in renewable energy equipment power generating and energy technology consulting services. The company is a manufacturer of alternative energy components with specialized technology, initially producing solar silicon wafers for the solar photovoltaic industry. Currently, the company's main source of short-term revenue is the trading of electronic materials, with products mainly including memory chips and DIMMs from manufacturers. Its electronic materials sales projects include DRAM CHIP Original & Re-ball from Hynix, Samsung and Micro DRAM Chip, and Long DIMM & SODIMM from Hynix, Samsung, and Hsin Keung Green Edition. The company generates revenue from Taiwan.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TPE:3686

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NT$17.35
Price
NT$30.85
GF Value