Strong H Machinery Technology Co (TPE:4560) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


TPE:4560 Strong H Machinery Technology Co TPE:4560
85 GF Score
Price NT$32.95
GF Value NT$40.31
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Strong H Machinery Technology Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Strong H Machinery Technology Co TPE:4560 +1.07% 85 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates TPE:4560 with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of NT$40.31 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Strong H Machinery Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Strong H Machinery Technology Co  (TPE:4560) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Strong H Machinery Technology Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


TPE:4560 vs SNA, RBC, LECO: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, Strong H Machinery Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Strong H Machinery Technology Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Strong H Machinery Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Strong H Machinery Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


TPE:4560
85GF Score
Strong H Machinery Technology Co TPE:4560
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Strong H Machinery Technology Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.14

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
Strong H Machinery Technology Co (TPE:4560) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is Strong H Machinery Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Strong H Machinery Technology Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, Strong H Machinery Technology Co has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Strong H Machinery Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to SNA and RBC?
Strong H Machinery Technology Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Industrial Products industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Industrial Products company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Industrial Products industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Strong H Machinery Technology Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Strong H Machinery Technology Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Strong H Machinery Technology Co (TPE:4560) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$40.31, compared to a current price of NT$32.95 — trading 18.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Strong H Machinery Technology Co's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Strong H Machinery Technology Co (TPE:4560), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Strong H Machinery Technology Co (TPE:4560) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Strong H Machinery Technology Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NT$32.95 is trading 18.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of NT$40.31. GuruFocus considers Strong H Machinery Technology Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TPE:4560:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
  • GF Value™: NT$40.31 vs. price of NT$32.95 (18.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TPE:4560 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Strong H Machinery Technology Co Business Description

Address No. 1699, open road, Development zone, Shandong Province, Laizhou City, CHN
Strong H Machinery Technology Co is a professional precision machining manufacturer. The company mainly produces and sells industrial sewing machine parts for assembly by machine manufacturers and repair by end users. It offers various types of industrial sewing machine knives to customers, including needle plates, teeth, presser feet, and needle embroidery machine knives. Its products include industrial sewing machine knives, straight knives, round knives, gauge sets, needle plate shear lines, and computerized embroidery machine parts. The Group's only reportable segment is the sewing machine spare parts segment, as the Group's main activities are manufacturing and selling sewing machine spare parts. The company operates in China and Taiwan, with the majority of revenue coming from China.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TPE:4560

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NT$32.95
Price
NT$40.31
GF Value