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WPRT (Westport Fuel Systems) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.09% (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Westport Fuel Systems Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Westport Fuel Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Westport Fuel Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Westport Fuel Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Westport Fuel Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Westport Fuel Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Westport Fuel Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Westport Fuel Systems Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.06

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.09%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Westport Fuel Systems  (NAS:WPRT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Westport Fuel Systems Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Westport Fuel Systems Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1691 West 75th Avenue, Suite 101, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6P 6P2
Westport Fuel Systems Inc is an organization engaged in the engineering, manufacturing, and supply of alternative fuel systems and components for transportation applications. It has three operating segments; the Original Equipment Manufacturers segment-design, manufacture, and sell alternative fuel systems, components and electronics, and related engineering services, to OEMs that serve light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty customers, the Independent Aftermarket segment includes IAM products, conversion kits, and components allow for the conversion of vehicles after being sold to the end-user through a network of dealers and installers, and Corporate includes public company activities, corporate oversight, financing, and capital allocation.
Executives
Eileen Wheatman director 125 EAST SIR FRANCIS DRAKE BLVD., STE 400, LARKSPUR CA 94939
Kevin Douglas 10 percent owner, other: 13(d)(3) group 300A DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 200, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Douglas Family Trust 10 percent owner, other: 13(d)(3) group 300A DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 200, GREENBRAE CA 94904
James & Jean Douglas Irrevocable Descendants Trust 10 percent owner, other: 13(d)(3) group 300A DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 200, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Douglas James E Iii 10 percent owner, other: 13(d)(3) group 300A DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 200, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Peter Yu director C/O CARTESIAN CAPITAL GROUP, 505 FIFTH AVENUE, 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Kgd 2010 Annuity Trust V 10 percent owner, other: 13(d)(3) group 125 E. SIR FRANCIS DRAKE BLVD, STE 400, LARKSPUR CA 93939
Mmd 2010 Annuity Trust V 10 percent owner, other: 13(d)(3) group 125 E. SIR FRANCIS DRAKE BLVD, STE 400, LARKSPUR CA 93939