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WVE (WAVE Life Sciences) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.23% (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is WAVE Life Sciences Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, WAVE Life Sciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.23%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of WAVE Life Sciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, WAVE Life Sciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


WAVE Life Sciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, WAVE Life Sciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where WAVE Life Sciences's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



WAVE Life Sciences Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.06

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.23%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


WAVE Life Sciences  (NAS:WVE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


WAVE Life Sciences Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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WAVE Life Sciences Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Marina One East Tower, 7 Straits View No. 12-00, Singapore, SGP, 018936
WAVE Life Sciences Ltd is unlocking the broad potential of RNA medicines also known as oligonucleotides, it targeting ribonucleic acid (RNA), to transform human health. RNA medicines platform, PRISMTM, combines multiple modalities, chemistry innovation, and deep insights into human genetics to deliver scientific breakthroughs that treat both rare and prevalent disorders. Its toolkit of RNA-targeting modalities includes RNA editing, splicing, antisense silencing, and RNA interference, providing capabilities for designing and sustainably delivering candidates that optimally address disease biology. Its programs are for rare and prevalent diseases, including alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, obesity, Duchenne muscular dystrophy, and Huntington's disease.
Executives
Paul Bolno director, officer: See Remarks C/O WAVE LIFE SCIENCES LTD., 733 CONCORD AVE., CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Chris Francis officer: See Remarks C/O WAVE LIFE SCIENCES LTD., 733 CONCORD AVE., CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Plc Glaxosmithkline 10 percent owner 980 GREAT WEST ROAD, BRENTFORD MIDDLESEX X0 TW8 9GS
Kyle Moran officer: See Remarks C/O WAVE LIFE SCIENCES LTD., 733 CONCORD AVE., CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Ra Capital Healthcare Fund Lp 10 percent owner 200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Chandra Vargeese officer: See Remarks C/O WAVE LIFE SCIENCES LTD., 733 CONCORD AVE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Michael A. Panzara officer: Franchise Lead, Neurology 733 CONCORD AVENUE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Ra Capital Management, L.p. director, 10 percent owner 200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Rajeev M. Shah 10 percent owner 200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Aik Na Tan director C/O WAVE LIFE SCIENCES LTD., 733 CONCORD AVENUE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
David G Gaiero officer: Interim CFO 733 CONCORD AVENUE, C/O WAVE LIFE SCIENCES USA, INC., CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Gregory L. Verdine director C/O WAVE LIFE SCIENCES LTD., 733 CONCORD AVE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Heidi L Wagner director C/O WAVE LIFE SCIENCES LTD., 733 CONCORD AVENUE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Amy Pott director C/O WAVE LIFE SCIENCES LTD., 733 CONCORD AVENUE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Mark Corrigan director