GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Quinsam Capital Corp (XCNQ:QCA) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Quinsam Capital (XCNQ:QCA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2004. Start your Free Trial

What is Quinsam Capital Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Quinsam Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Quinsam Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Quinsam Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Quinsam Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Quinsam Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Quinsam Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Quinsam Capital Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.11

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Quinsam Capital  (XCNQ:QCA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Quinsam Capital Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Quinsam Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Quinsam Capital Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
77 King Street West, Suite 2905, P.O. Box 121, Toronto Dominion Centre, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5K 1H1
Quinsam Capital Corp is an investment and merchant banking firm focused on the technology, healthcare, mining and exploration, e-sports, and cannabis markets. It is focused on the small-cap market, with early-stage investments in as resources and technology sectors. The company's merchant banking business encompasses a range of activities including acquisitions, advisory services, lending activities, and portfolio investments.
Executives
Anthony Ralph Roodenburg Director
Quinsam Capital Corporation Issuer
Roger Dent Director, Senior Officer
R W Campbell Becher Director
James David Alexander White Director
Kenneth Richard Donner Senior Officer
Alison Taylor Love Director
Gregory Lynn Madden Senior Officer
Michael Louis Zych Director
Benedict Giles Cubitt Director, Senior Officer
Patrick Elliott Director, Senior Officer
Nicholas Keane Vita 10% Security Holder, Director
Alicia Milne Director
David Frattaroli Director
Parvinder Shergill Senior Officer

Quinsam Capital Headlines

No Headlines