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Zoom Video Communications (NAS:ZM) Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.01% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Zoom Video Communications's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Zoom Video Communications's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   
Zoom Video Communications Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Zoom Video Communications's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zoom Video Communications's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Probability of Financial Distress (%)'s extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.


Zoom Video Communications Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.93

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Zoom Video Communications  (NAS:ZM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Zoom Video Communications Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Zoom Video Communications's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Zoom Video Communications (NAS:ZM) Business Description

Zoom Video Communications logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Zoom Video Communications Inc (NAS:ZM) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Comparable Companies
NAS:DDOG NAS:TTD NYSE:SNOW NAS:CDNS NAS:ANSS NAS:ADSK NAS:WDAY NAS:TEAM NYSE:UBER NYSE:PAYC NYSE:CRM NAS:INTU XTER:SAP NYSE:NOW XPAR:DSY TSX:SHOP TSX:CSU ISX:GOTO HKSE:00020 NAS:SSNC
Traded in Other Exchanges
ZM:Mexico 5ZM:Germany Z1OM34:Brazil ZOOM:Austria
Address
55 Almaden Boulevard, 6th Floor, San Jose, CA, USA, 95113
Website
https://www.zoom.com
Zoom Video Communications provides a communications platform that connects people through video, voice, chat, and content sharing. The company's cloud-native platform enables face-to-face video and connects users across various devices and locations in a single meeting. Zoom, which was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in San Jose, California, serves companies of all sizes from all industries around the world.
Executives
Cindy L Hoots director C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC, 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR, SAN JOSE CA 95113
Gregory Tomb officer: President 650 CASTRO ST, SUITE 400, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94041
William R Mcdermott director 2225 LAWSON LANE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Santiago Subotovsky director C/O EMERGENCE CAPITAL PARTNERS, 160 BOVENT ROAD SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94402
Janet Napolitano director C/O VIR BIOTECHNOLOGY, INC., 499 ILLINOIS STREET, SUITE 500, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94158
Shane Crehan officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O EVENTBRITE, INC., 155 5TH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Velchamy Sankarlingam officer: Pres. of Engineering & Product C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC., 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR, SAN JOSE CA 95113
Herbert Raymond Mcmaster director C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC., 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR, SAN JOSE CA 95113
Michael Saul Abramson 10 percent owner C/O SEQUOIA CAPITAL, 2800 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Douglas M Leone 10 percent owner C/O SEQUOIA CAPITAL, 2800 SAND HILL RD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Ryan Azus officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC., 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR, SAN JOSE CA 95113
Bonus Goal International Ltd 10 percent owner C/O 7/F, CHEUNG KONG CENTER, 2 QUEEN'S ROAD CENTRAL, HONG KONG K3 00000
Salesforce Com Inc 10 percent owner SALESFORCE TOWER, 415 MISSION STREET 3RD FL, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Sequoia Capital Global Growth Ii Principals Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner 2800 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Qualcomm Inc/de 10 percent owner 5775 MOREHOUSE DR, SAN DIEGO CA 92121