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Alarm.com Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 21.63% (As of Jun. 2022)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Alarm.com Holdings's forward rate of return for was 21.63%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alarm.com Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ALRM' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.77   Med: 17.5   Max: 21.83
Current: 21.34

During the past 10 years, Alarm.com Holdings's highest Forward Rate of Return was 21.83. The lowest was -0.77. And the median was 17.50.

ALRM's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
75.29% of 1105 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 13.73 vs ALRM: 21.34

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Alarm.com Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alarm.com Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alarm.com Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 0.14 17.47 21.33

Alarm.com Holdings Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.11 21.38 21.33 21.57 21.63

Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Alarm.com Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Alarm.com Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Alarm.com Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alarm.com Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Alarm.com Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Alarm.com Holdings's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.00933333/61.86+0.2
=21.63 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alarm.com Holdings  (NAS:ALRM) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Alarm.com Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alarm.com Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Alarm.com Holdings Business Description

Alarm.com Holdings logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8281 Greensboro Drive, Suite 100, Tysons, VA, USA, 22102
Alarm.com Holdings Inc provides a software-as-a-service, or SaaS, platform solution for the connected home. The platform allows home and business owners to secure their properties and automate and control an array of connected devices. SaaS and license fees from service providers, who resell these services and pay Alarm.com a monthly subscription, are the largest sources of revenue for the firm. The SaaS platform also caters to the service provider by offering enterprise-grade business-management solutions to expand and manage its customer base. A large majority of the firm's revenue is generated in the United States and Canada.
Executives
Mcadam Timothy P director 250 MIDDLEFIELD RD MENLO PARK CA 94025
Whall Timothy J. director C/O ADT, LLC 1501 YAMATO ROAD BOCA RATON FL 33431
Evans Stephen C. director C/O ALARM.COM HOLDINGS, INC. 8281 GREENSBORO DRIVE, SUITE 100 TYSONS VA 22102
Tcv Vii Management, L.l.c. 10 percent owner, other: May be part of a13(d) group 528 RAMONA STREET PALO ALTO CA 94301
Wu Simone director 1 CHOICE HOTELS CIRCLE ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Lee Michelle K. director C/O ALARM.COM HOLDINGS, INC. 8281 GREENSBORO DRIVE, SUITE 100 TYSONS VA 22102
Tcv Member Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner, other: May be part of a 13(d) group 528 RAMONA STREET PALO ALTO CA 94301
Technology Crossover Management Vii, L.p. 10 percent owner, other: May be part of a 13(d) group 528 RAMONA STREET PALO ALTO CA 94301
Abs Capital Partners V Trust 10 percent owner 400 EAST PRATT STREET SUITE 910 BALTIMORE MD 21202
Abs Capital Partners, Inc. 10 percent owner 400 EAST PRATT STREET, SUITE 910 BALTIMORE MD 21202-3127
Valenzuela Steve officer: Chief Financial Officer 1800 GREEN HILLS ROAD SCOTTS VALLEY CA 95066
Gollinger Allan Jon officer: Principal Accounting Officer 8281 GREENSBORO DRIVE, STE 100 C/O ALARM.COM HOLDINGS, INC. TYSONS VA 22102
Nevin Darius G director C/O WCI COMMUNITIES, INC. 24301 WALDEN CENTER DRIVE BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Abs Partners V, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O ALARM.COM HOLDINGS, INC. 8150 LEESBURG PIKE VIENNA VA 22182
Abs Partners V Llc 10 percent owner C/O ALARM.COM HOLDINGS, INC. 8150 LEESBURG PIKE VIENNA VA 22182

Alarm.com Holdings Headlines

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