Alcoa (ASX:AAI) Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share: A$44.39 (As of Mar. 2026)


ASX:AAI Alcoa Corp ASX:AAI
42 GF Score
Price A$73.09
GF Value A$42.51
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share?

Alcoa ASX:AAI +3.67% 42 Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is A$44.39 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:AAI with a GF Score™ of 42/100 and a GF Value™ of A$42.51 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Book Value per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Alcoa's adjusted book value per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was A$36.864. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is A$44.39 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Alcoa's average Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate was -5.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted Book Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share data.

As of today (2026-07-03), Alcoa's current stock price is A$73.09. Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was A$44.39. Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of today is 1.65.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of Alcoa was 2.47. The lowest was 0.70. And the median was 1.13.


Alcoa  (ASX:AAI) Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share may underestimate the company's equity. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual PB Ratio is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, the book value of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/B calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is also called CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=73.09/44.39
=1.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of Alcoa was 2.47. The lowest was 0.70. And the median was 1.13.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real book value.


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Related Terms


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Chart

Alcoa Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.88 48.48

Alcoa Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 52.42 50.66 51.10 48.48 44.39

ASX:AAI vs CENX, CSTM, KALU: Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


ASX:AAI
42GF Score
Alcoa Corp ASX:AAI
Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Book Value per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Book Value per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the book value per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 book value per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent book value in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's book value is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent book value in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's book value is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 book value in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent book value per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Alcoa's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_Book= Book Value per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=36.864/330.2130*330.2130
=36.864

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Alcoa Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201606 64.956 241.018 88.995
201609 50.380 241.428 68.907
201612 42.066 241.432 57.535
201703 41.848 243.801 56.680
201706 42.719 244.955 57.588
201709 39.742 246.819 53.170
201712 31.944 246.524 42.788
201803 37.159 249.554 49.169
201806 35.941 251.989 47.098
201809 38.821 252.439 50.781
201812 42.415 251.233 55.749
201903 39.250 254.202 50.986
201906 37.987 256.143 48.972
201909 35.882 256.759 46.147
201912 32.173 256.974 41.342
202003 36.975 258.115 47.303
202006 28.875 257.797 36.986
202009 25.272 260.280 32.062
202012 23.643 260.474 29.973
202103 22.599 264.877 28.173
202106 26.382 271.696 32.064
202109 28.360 274.310 34.140
202112 35.478 278.802 42.020
202203 33.668 287.504 38.669
202206 44.812 296.311 49.939
202209 45.503 296.808 50.624
202212 42.508 296.797 47.294
202303 39.391 301.836 43.094
202306 40.429 305.109 43.755
202309 39.312 307.789 42.176
202312 35.585 306.746 38.307
202403 33.921 312.332 35.863
202406 32.701 314.175 34.370
202409 30.014 315.301 31.433
202412 31.518 315.605 32.977
202503 35.647 319.799 36.808
202506 36.396 322.561 37.259
202509 37.144 324.800 37.763
202512 34.996 324.054 35.661
202603 36.864 330.213 36.864

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share of A$44.39 mean?
Alcoa (ASX:AAI) has a Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share of A$44.39 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically adjusted book value per share represents the company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors.
Is Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share too high?
Alcoa's current Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is A$44.39. Overall, Alcoa has a GF Score™ of 42/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share compare to CENX and CSTM?
Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share of A$44.39 can be compared against companies in the Metals & Mining industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically adjusted book value per share represents the company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors. Alcoa's current Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is A$44.39. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alcoa stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa (ASX:AAI) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$42.51, compared to a current price of A$73.09 — trading 71.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is A$44.39. Alcoa's overall GF Score™ is 42/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alcoa (ASX:AAI), the current Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is A$44.39 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alcoa (ASX:AAI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$73.09 is trading 71.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$42.51. GuruFocus considers Alcoa to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:AAI:

  • Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share: A$44.39
  • GF Value™: A$42.51 vs. price of A$73.09 (71.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 42/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:AAI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alcoa Business Description

Address 201 Isabella Street, Suite 500, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5858
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
42GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:AAI

Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$73.09
Price
A$42.51
GF Value