Alcoa (ASX:AAI) Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share: A$99.99 (As of Mar. 2026)

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ASX:AAI Alcoa Corp ASX:AAI
42 GF Score
Price A$69.88
GF Value A$44.19
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share?

Alcoa ASX:AAI -1.02% 42 Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is A$99.99 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:AAI with a GF Score™ of 42/100 and a GF Value™ of A$44.19 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Revenue per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Alcoa's adjusted revenue per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was A$17.105. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is A$99.99 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Alcoa's average Cyclically Adjusted Revenue Growth Rate was -0.80% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted Revenue Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share data.

As of today (2026-07-16), Alcoa's current stock price is A$69.88. Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was A$99.99. Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of today is 0.70.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of Alcoa was 1.10. The lowest was 0.33. And the median was 0.54.


Alcoa  (ASX:AAI) Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share may underestimate the company's revenue. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual PS Ratio is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, the revenue per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/S calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is also called CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=69.88/99.99
=0.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of Alcoa was 1.10. The lowest was 0.33. And the median was 0.54.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real revenue value.


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share Related Terms


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share Chart

Alcoa Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 111.97 105.81

Alcoa Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 112.53 108.01 108.36 105.81 99.99

ASX:AAI vs CENX, CSTM, KALU: Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


ASX:AAI
42GF Score
Alcoa Corp ASX:AAI
Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Revenue per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Revenue per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the revenue per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 revenue per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent revenue in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's revenue is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent revenue in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's revenue is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 revenue in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent revenue per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Alcoa's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare= Revenue per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=17.105/330.2130*330.2130
=17.105

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Alcoa Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201606 17.206 241.018 23.574
201609 16.810 241.428 22.992
201612 18.875 241.432 25.816
201703 18.728 243.801 25.366
201706 20.320 244.955 27.392
201709 19.876 246.819 26.592
201712 22.201 246.524 29.738
201803 21.186 249.554 28.034
201806 25.261 251.989 33.103
201809 25.297 252.439 33.091
201812 24.682 251.233 32.441
201903 20.753 254.202 26.959
201906 20.988 256.143 27.057
201909 20.246 256.759 26.038
201912 19.119 256.974 24.568
202003 20.474 258.115 26.193
202006 16.734 257.797 21.435
202009 17.598 260.280 22.326
202012 17.078 260.474 21.650
202103 19.695 264.877 24.553
202106 19.503 271.696 23.703
202109 22.268 274.310 26.806
202112 24.575 278.802 29.107
202203 23.752 287.504 27.280
202206 27.879 296.311 31.069
202209 23.875 296.808 26.562
202212 22.172 296.797 24.668
202303 22.470 301.836 24.583
202306 22.467 305.109 24.316
202309 22.746 307.789 24.403
202312 21.781 306.746 23.447
202403 22.142 312.332 23.410
202406 24.179 314.175 25.413
202409 18.330 315.301 19.197
202412 20.771 315.605 21.732
202503 20.564 319.799 21.234
202506 17.829 322.561 18.252
202509 17.396 324.800 17.686
202512 19.662 324.054 20.036
202603 17.105 330.213 17.105

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share of A$99.99 mean?
Alcoa (ASX:AAI) has a Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share of A$99.99 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically adjusted revenue per share represents the company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors.
Is Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share too high?
Alcoa's current Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is A$99.99. Overall, Alcoa has a GF Score™ of 42/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share compare to CENX and CSTM?
Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share of A$99.99 can be compared against companies in the Metals & Mining industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically adjusted revenue per share represents the company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors. Alcoa's current Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is A$99.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alcoa stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa (ASX:AAI) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$44.19, compared to a current price of A$69.88 — trading 58.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is A$99.99. Alcoa's overall GF Score™ is 42/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alcoa (ASX:AAI), the current Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is A$99.99 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alcoa (ASX:AAI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$69.88 is trading 58.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$44.19. GuruFocus considers Alcoa to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:AAI:

  • Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share: A$99.99
  • GF Value™: A$44.19 vs. price of A$69.88 (58.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 42/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:AAI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alcoa Business Description

Address 201 Isabella Street, Suite 500, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5858
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
42GF Score

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Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$69.88
Price
A$44.19
GF Value