E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.
Alcoa's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was A$2.280. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is A$-0.45 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.
Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.
As of today (2026-06-26), Alcoa's current stock price is A$76.29. Alcoa's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was A$-0.45. Alcoa's Shiller PE Ratio of today is .
Alcoa (ASX:AAI) E10 Explanation
If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.
For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.
The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.
Be Aware
Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.
Alcoa E10 Related Terms
Alcoa E10 Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Alcoa's E10 can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcoa's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Alcoa Shiller PE Ratio vs Metals & Mining Industry
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcoa's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Alcoa's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.
E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.
What is E10? How do we calculate E10?
E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.
If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.
We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.
Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.
For example, Alcoa's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:
Alcoa (ASX:AAI) has a E10 of A$-0.45 as of Mar. 2026. E10 represents the company's inflation-adjusted earnings per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors.
Is Alcoa's E10 too high?
Alcoa's current E10 is A$-0.45. Overall, Alcoa has a GF Score™ of 42/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alcoa's E10 compare to CENX and CSTM?
Alcoa's E10 of A$-0.45 can be compared against companies in the Metals & Mining industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good E10 for a Metals & Mining company?
A good E10 depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, E10 should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high E10 mean?
A high E10 can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. E10 represents the company's inflation-adjusted earnings per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors. Alcoa's current E10 is A$-0.45. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alcoa stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa (ASX:AAI) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$43.71, compared to a current price of A$76.29 — trading 74.5% above its estimated fair value. The current E10 is A$-0.45. Alcoa's overall GF Score™ is 42/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is E10 calculated?
E10 is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alcoa (ASX:AAI), the current E10 is A$-0.45 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Alcoa (ASX:AAI) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of A$76.29 is trading 74.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$43.71.
GuruFocus considers Alcoa to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for ASX:AAI:
E10: A$-0.45
GF Value™: A$43.71 vs. price of A$76.29 (74.5% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:AAI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
42GF Score
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