Target (BUE:TGT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: ARS561.63 (As of Apr. 2026)

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BUE:TGT Target Corp BUE:TGT
58 GF Score
Price ARS9,470.00
GF Value ARS8,500.65
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Target Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Target BUE:TGT +0.85% 58 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS561.63 as of Apr. 2026. GuruFocus rates BUE:TGT with a GF Score™ of 58/100 and a GF Value™ of ARS8,500.65 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Target's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was ARS-973.513. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is ARS561.63 for the trailing ten years ended in Apr. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Target's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 3.40% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 2.60% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 3.50% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Target was 123.60% per year. The lowest was -100.00% per year. And the median was 16.80% per year.

As of today (2026-08-01), Target's current stock price is ARS9470.00. Target's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2026 was ARS561.63. Target's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 16.86.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Target was 35.28. The lowest was 9.69. And the median was 16.65.


Target  (BUE:TGT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Target's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=9470.00/561.63
=16.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Target was 35.28. The lowest was 9.69. And the median was 16.65.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Target Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Target Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Target's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Target Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Target Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 481.65 125.57 437.39 442.14 551.90

Target Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 440.56 499.05 552.22 551.90 561.63

BUE:TGT vs DG, DLTR, BJ: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Target's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Target Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Target's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Target's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


BUE:TGT
58GF Score
Target Corp BUE:TGT
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Target Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Target's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Apr. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Apr. 2026)
=-973.513/333.0200*333.0200
=-973.513

Current CPI (Apr. 2026) = 333.0200.

Target Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201607 21.563 240.628 29.842
201610 23.840 241.729 32.843
201701 62.120 242.839 85.189
201704 22.718 244.524 30.940
201707 29.160 244.786 39.671
201710 23.343 246.663 31.515
201801 70.336 247.867 94.499
201804 -11.634 250.546 -15.464
201807 63.597 252.006 84.042
201810 -9.092 252.885 -11.973
201901 122.427 251.712 161.973
201904 -27.659 255.548 -36.044
201907 144.005 256.571 186.913
201910 37.811 257.346 48.930
202001 272.877 257.971 352.262
202004 67.926 256.389 88.228
202007 442.994 259.101 569.376
202010 201.084 260.388 257.174
202101 472.078 261.582 601.002
202104 109.231 267.054 136.213
202107 285.836 273.003 348.674
202110 207.873 276.589 250.284
202201 420.424 281.148 497.993
202204 -557.263 289.109 -641.902
202207 -60.590 296.276 -68.104
202210 -382.528 298.012 -427.464
202301 863.805 299.170 961.541
202304 -129.895 303.363 -142.594
202307 506.740 305.691 552.043
202310 610.571 307.671 660.876
202401 4,250.865 308.417 4,589.964
202404 789.283 313.548 838.299
202407 3,149.702 314.540 3,334.755
202410 176.555 315.664 186.262
202501 5,424.719 317.671 5,686.827
202504 -1,314.295 320.795 -1,364.381
202507 2,923.369 323.048 3,013.609
202510 471.292 0.000
202601 6,952.348 325.252 7,118.391
202604 -973.513 333.020 -973.513

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS561.63 mean?
Target (BUE:TGT) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS561.63 as of Apr. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Target and its competitors.
Is Target's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Target's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS561.63. Overall, Target has a GF Score™ of 58/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Target's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to DG and DLTR?
Target's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS561.63 can be compared against companies in the Retail - Defensive industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Retail - Defensive company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Retail - Defensive industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Target and its competitors. Target's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS561.63. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Target stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Target (BUE:TGT) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ARS8,500.65, compared to a current price of ARS9,470.00 — trading 11.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS561.63. Target's overall GF Score™ is 58/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Target (BUE:TGT), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS561.63 as of Apr. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Target (BUE:TGT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Target stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ARS9,470.00 is trading 11.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of ARS8,500.65. GuruFocus considers Target to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BUE:TGT:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: ARS561.63
  • GF Value™: ARS8,500.65 vs. price of ARS9,470.00 (11.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 58/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BUE:TGT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Target Business Description

Address 1000 Nicollet Mall, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55403
Target's start dates back to 1962, but now it is one of the largest discount retailers in the United States (where it derives all of its sales), operating just under 2,000 stores and generating over $104 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. The company offers a broad assortment of merchandise across categories including apparel and accessories (16% of fiscal 2025 revenue), beauty and household essentials (30%), food and beverage (24%), hardlines (15%), as well as home furnishings (15%). Target's model is anchored in its physical store base, which fulfills more than 97% of sales. Around 30% of sales are derived from its own private-label brands.
58GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BUE:TGT

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

ARS9,470.00
Price
ARS8,500.65
GF Value