CHDN (Churchill Downs) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $2.06 (As of Jun. 2026)

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CHDN Churchill Downs Inc CHDN
82 GF Score
Price $91.75
GF Value $142.51
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Churchill Downs CHDN +3.53% 82 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.06 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates CHDN with a GF Score™ of 82/100 and a GF Value™ of $142.51 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Churchill Downs's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was $2.271. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $2.06 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Churchill Downs's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 21.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 5.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.40% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 7.20% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Churchill Downs was 79.70% per year. The lowest was -15.40% per year. And the median was 9.50% per year.

As of today (2026-08-20), Churchill Downs's current stock price is $91.75. Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was $2.06. Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 44.54.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Churchill Downs was 116.67. The lowest was 27.44. And the median was 62.32.


Churchill Downs  (NAS:CHDN) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=91.75/2.06
=44.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Churchill Downs was 116.67. The lowest was 27.44. And the median was 62.32.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Churchill Downs Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.30 1.37 1.21 1.44 1.62

Churchill Downs Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.70 1.60 1.62 1.92 2.06

CHDN vs LNWO, SGHC, RSI: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Gambling subindustry, Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


CHDN
82GF Score
Churchill Downs Inc CHDN
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Churchill Downs's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=2.271/333.9520*333.9520
=2.271

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Churchill Downs Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201609 0.100 241.428 0.138
201612 0.350 241.432 0.484
201703 0.276 243.801 0.378
201706 0.783 244.955 1.067
201709 -0.283 246.819 -0.383
201712 0.218 246.524 0.295
201803 0.252 249.554 0.337
201806 0.831 251.989 1.101
201809 -0.976 252.439 -1.291
201812 0.470 251.233 0.625
201903 0.520 254.202 0.683
201906 1.120 256.143 1.460
201909 0.168 256.759 0.219
201912 -0.258 256.974 -0.335
202003 -0.060 258.115 -0.078
202006 -0.628 257.797 -0.814
202009 -0.229 260.280 -0.294
202012 -0.234 260.474 -0.300
202103 -0.405 264.877 -0.511
202106 2.707 271.696 3.327
202109 0.436 274.310 0.531
202112 0.370 278.802 0.443
202203 1.027 287.504 1.193
202206 1.736 296.311 1.957
202209 -1.124 296.808 -1.265
202212 -0.622 296.797 -0.700
202303 1.067 301.836 1.181
202306 0.124 305.109 0.136
202309 -1.161 307.789 -1.260
202312 -0.960 306.746 -1.045
202403 1.335 312.332 1.427
202406 1.086 314.175 1.154
202409 0.587 315.301 0.622
202412 0.016 315.605 0.017
202503 2.257 319.799 2.357
202506 2.153 322.561 2.229
202509 -0.818 324.800 -0.841
202512 0.654 324.054 0.674
202603 3.371 330.213 3.409
202606 2.271 333.952 2.271

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $2.06 mean?
Churchill Downs (CHDN) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $2.06 as of Jun. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Churchill Downs and its competitors.
Is Churchill Downs' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Churchill Downs' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.06. Overall, Churchill Downs has a GF Score™ of 82/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Churchill Downs' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to LNWO and SGHC?
Churchill Downs' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $2.06 can be compared against companies in the Travel & Leisure industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Churchill Downs and its competitors. Churchill Downs's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.06. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Churchill Downs stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Churchill Downs (CHDN) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $142.51, compared to a current price of $91.75 — trading 35.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.06. Churchill Downs' overall GF Score™ is 82/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Churchill Downs (CHDN), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.06 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Churchill Downs (CHDN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Churchill Downs stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $91.75 is trading 35.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of $142.51. GuruFocus considers Churchill Downs to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for CHDN:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $2.06
  • GF Value™: $142.51 vs. price of $91.75 (35.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 82/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHDN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Churchill Downs Business Description

Other Exchanges CHR:GermanyC2HD34:Brazil
Address 600 North Hurstbourne Parkway, Suite 400, Louisville, KY, USA, 40222
Churchill Downs Inc is a gaming entertainment, online wagering, and racing company. It operates through three business segments: Live and Historical Racing, Wagering Services, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment includes live and historical pari-mutuel racing. The Wagering Services segment includes the revenue and expenses from pari-mutuel wagers through TwinSpires, companies retail and online sports betting business and Gaming segment includes revenue and expenses for the casino properties and associated racetracks that support the casino license. The Gaming segment generates revenue and expenses from slot machines, video lottery terminals, video poker, HRMs, ancillary food and beverage services, hotel services, commission on pari-mutuel wagering, and racing events.
82GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHDN

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$91.75
Price
$142.51
GF Value