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CHDN (Churchill Downs) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 59.01 (As of May. 25, 2025)


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What is Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2025-05-25), Churchill Downs's current share price is $93.24. Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 was $1.58. Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 59.01.

The historical rank and industry rank for Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CHDN' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 26.44   Med: 58.95   Max: 116.67
Current: 58.95

During the past years, Churchill Downs's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 116.67. The lowest was 26.44. And the median was 58.95.

CHDN's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
84.21% of 342 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 20.2 vs CHDN: 58.95

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Churchill Downs's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was $2.237. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $1.58 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2025.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Churchill Downs Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 89.20 92.36 77.20 111.49 92.54

Churchill Downs Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 93.36 101.01 92.11 92.54 70.23

Competitive Comparison of Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Gambling subindustry, Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


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Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=93.24/1.58
=59.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 is calculated as:

For example, Churchill Downs's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2025)
=2.237/134.9266*134.9266
=2.237

Current CPI (Mar. 2025) = 134.9266.

Churchill Downs Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201506 0.863 100.684 1.157
201509 0.174 100.392 0.234
201512 0.298 99.792 0.403
201603 0.492 100.470 0.661
201606 0.805 101.688 1.068
201609 0.100 101.861 0.132
201612 0.350 101.863 0.464
201703 0.276 102.862 0.362
201706 0.783 103.349 1.022
201709 -0.283 104.136 -0.367
201712 0.218 104.011 0.283
201803 0.252 105.290 0.323
201806 0.831 106.317 1.055
201809 -0.976 106.507 -1.236
201812 0.470 105.998 0.598
201903 0.520 107.251 0.654
201906 1.120 108.070 1.398
201909 0.168 108.329 0.209
201912 -0.258 108.420 -0.321
202003 -0.060 108.902 -0.074
202006 -0.628 108.767 -0.779
202009 -0.229 109.815 -0.281
202012 -0.234 109.897 -0.287
202103 -0.405 111.754 -0.489
202106 2.707 114.631 3.186
202109 0.436 115.734 0.508
202112 0.370 117.630 0.424
202203 1.027 121.301 1.142
202206 1.736 125.017 1.874
202209 -1.124 125.227 -1.211
202212 -0.622 125.222 -0.670
202303 1.067 127.348 1.130
202306 0.124 128.729 0.130
202309 -1.161 129.860 -1.206
202312 -0.960 129.419 -1.001
202403 1.335 131.776 1.367
202406 1.086 132.554 1.105
202409 0.587 133.029 0.595
202412 0.016 133.157 0.016
202503 2.237 134.927 2.237

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Churchill Downs  (NAS:CHDN) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Churchill Downs Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
600 North Hurstbourne Parkway, Suite 400, Louisville, KY, USA, 40222
Churchill Downs Inc is a gaming entertainment, online wagering, and racing company. It operates through three business segments: Live and Historical Racing, Wagering Services, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment includes live and historical pari-mutuel racing. The Wagering Services segment includes the revenue and expenses from pari-mutuel wagers through TwinSpires, companies retail and online sports betting business and Gaming segment includes revenue and expenses for the casino properties and associated racetracks that support the casino license. The Gaming segment generates revenue and expenses from slot machines, video lottery terminals, video poker, HRMs, ancillary food and beverage services, hotel services, commission on pari-mutuel wagering, and racing events.
Executives
Paul C Varga director 850 DIXIE HIGHWAY, LOUISVILLE KY 40210
Maureen Adams officer: SVP, Gaming Operations 600 N. HURSTBOURNE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, LOUISVLLE KY 40222
Bradley K. Blackwell officer: SVP, General Counsel 600 N. HURSTBOURNE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, LOUISVILLE KY 40222
Andrea M Carter director 600 N. HURSTBOURNE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, LOUISVILLE KY 40222
Karole Lloyd director 1932 WYNNTON ROAD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
R Alex Rankin director 700 CENTRAL AVENUE, LOUISVILLE KY 40208
Robert L Fealy director 700 CENTRAL AVE, LOUISVILLE KY 40208
Bridgeman Ulysses L Jr director 7 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Marcia A Dall officer: EVP, and Chief Financial Offic 600 N. HURSTBOURNE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, LOUISVILLE KY 40222
Austin W. Miller officer: SVP, Gaming Operations 600 N. HURSTBOURNE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, LOUISVILLE KY 40222
Douglas C Grissom director THREE FIRST NATIONAL PLAZA STE 3800, CHICAGO IL 60602
William E Mudd officer: President and COO 700 CENTRAL AVENUE, LOUISVILLE KY 40208
Daniel P Harrington director 700 CENTRAL AVE, LOUISVILLE KY 40208
Richard L Duchossois director, 10 percent owner
Robert L Evans director, officer: President and CEO TENLANE FARM, 825 STEELE ROAD, VESAILLES KY 40383