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Carnival (LTS:0EV1) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $-1.35 (As of Aug. 2024)


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What is Carnival Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Carnival's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Aug. 2024 was $0.449. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $-1.35 for the trailing ten years ended in Aug. 2024.

Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Carnival was 139.10% per year. The lowest was -45.00% per year. And the median was 16.35% per year.

As of today (2024-12-14), Carnival's current stock price is $25.84. Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Aug. 2024 was $-1.35. Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Carnival was 246.33. The lowest was 4.77. And the median was 44.21.


Carnival Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Carnival Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Carnival Annual Data
Trend Nov14 Nov15 Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.73 0.46 -0.41 -1.12 -1.21

Carnival Quarterly Data
Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.21 -1.21 -1.26 -1.26 -1.35

Competitive Comparison of Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Travel Services subindustry, Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Carnival Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Carnival's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Aug. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Aug. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Aug. 2024)
=0.449/132.8158*132.8158
=0.449

Current CPI (Aug. 2024) = 132.8158.

Carnival Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201411 -0.346 99.635 -0.461
201502 -0.220 99.032 -0.295
201505 1.379 100.333 1.825
201508 1.227 100.548 1.621
201511 0.501 100.135 0.665
201602 0.609 100.040 0.809
201605 0.328 101.355 0.430
201608 1.325 101.617 1.732
201611 0.520 101.829 0.678
201702 0.714 102.779 0.923
201705 0.646 103.256 0.831
201708 1.394 103.587 1.787
201711 0.523 104.072 0.667
201802 0.682 105.052 0.862
201805 0.554 106.148 0.693
201808 1.083 106.383 1.352
201811 0.211 106.338 0.264
201902 -1.458 106.649 -1.816
201905 1.675 108.048 2.059
201908 1.184 108.245 1.453
201911 -1.335 108.519 -1.634
202002 -0.599 109.139 -0.729
202005 -4.247 108.175 -5.214
202008 -3.969 109.662 -4.807
202011 -3.670 109.793 -4.440
202102 -2.993 110.968 -3.582
202105 -1.539 113.576 -1.800
202108 -1.626 115.421 -1.871
202111 -0.755 117.269 -0.855
202202 -3.467 119.703 -3.847
202205 -0.428 123.323 -0.461
202208 -0.744 124.958 -0.791
202211 -1.032 125.607 -1.091
202302 -0.545 126.928 -0.570
202305 0.348 128.314 0.360
202308 0.714 129.538 0.732
202311 0.196 129.548 0.201
202402 -0.293 130.930 -0.297
202405 0.566 132.509 0.567
202408 0.449 132.816 0.449

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Carnival  (LTS:0EV1) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Carnival was 246.33. The lowest was 4.77. And the median was 44.21.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Carnival Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Carnival Business Description

Industry
Address
3655 N.W. 87th Avenue, Miami, FL, USA, 33178-2428
Carnival is the largest global cruise company, with 92 ships in service at the end of fiscal 2023. Its portfolio of brands includes Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America, Princess Cruises, and Seabourn in North America; P&O Cruises and Cunard Line in the United Kingdom; Aida in Germany; Costa Cruises in Southern Europe. It's currently folding its P&O Australia brand into Carnival. The firm also owns Holland America Princess Alaska Tours in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. Carnival's brands attracted nearly 13 million guests in 2019, prior to covid-19, a level it reached again in 2023.

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