Progressive (LTS:0KOC) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $16.44 (As of Mar. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

LTS:0KOC Progressive Corp LTS:0KOC
87 GF Score
Price $207.45
GF Value $272.58
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Progressive LTS:0KOC +1.87% 87 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $16.44 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates LTS:0KOC with a GF Score™ of 87/100 and a GF Value™ of $272.58 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Progressive's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $7.333. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $16.44 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Progressive's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 21.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 21.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Progressive was 27.30% per year. The lowest was -0.10% per year. And the median was 15.80% per year.

As of today (2026-07-19), Progressive's current stock price is $207.45. Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $16.44. Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 12.62.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Progressive was 22.27. The lowest was 10.88. And the median was 15.54.


Progressive  (LTS:0KOC) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=207.45/16.44
=12.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Progressive was 22.27. The lowest was 10.88. And the median was 15.54.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Progressive Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.43 8.59 10.34 12.82 15.70

Progressive Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.20 15.06 15.70 16.44 0.00

LTS:0KOC vs CB, TRV, ALL: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Progressive Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


LTS:0KOC
87GF Score
Progressive Corp LTS:0KOC
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Progressive's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=7.333/330.2130*330.2130
=7.333

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Progressive Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 1.192 241.018 1.633
201609 1.114 241.428 1.524
201612 0.693 241.432 0.948
201703 1.833 243.801 2.483
201706 1.507 244.955 2.032
201709 1.988 246.819 2.660
201712 0.833 246.524 1.116
201803 2.922 249.554 3.866
201806 2.851 251.989 3.736
201809 2.822 252.439 3.691
201812 1.674 251.233 2.200
201903 3.056 254.202 3.970
201906 2.349 256.143 3.028
201909 2.863 256.759 3.682
201912 1.782 256.974 2.290
202003 2.664 258.115 3.408
202006 3.754 257.797 4.809
202009 2.406 260.280 3.052
202012 2.554 260.474 3.238
202103 4.369 264.877 5.447
202106 3.878 271.696 4.713
202109 3.886 274.310 4.678
202112 0.677 278.802 0.802
202203 4.143 287.504 4.758
202206 2.261 296.311 2.520
202209 3.269 296.808 3.637
202212 1.504 296.797 1.673
202303 4.099 301.836 4.484
202306 3.827 305.109 4.142
202309 5.759 307.789 6.179
202312 4.008 306.746 4.315
202403 7.126 312.332 7.534
202406 5.446 314.175 5.724
202409 7.747 315.301 8.113
202412 4.931 315.605 5.159
202503 8.651 319.799 8.933
202506 6.700 322.561 6.859
202509 8.720 324.800 8.865
202512 5.184 324.054 5.283
202603 7.333 330.213 7.333

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $16.44 mean?
Progressive (LTS:0KOC) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $16.44 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Progressive and its competitors.
Is Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Progressive's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $16.44. Overall, Progressive has a GF Score™ of 87/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to CB and TRV?
Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $16.44 can be compared against companies in the Insurance industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Insurance company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Insurance industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Progressive and its competitors. Progressive's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $16.44. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Progressive stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Progressive (LTS:0KOC) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $272.58, compared to a current price of $207.45 — trading 23.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $16.44. Progressive's overall GF Score™ is 87/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Progressive (LTS:0KOC), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $16.44 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Progressive (LTS:0KOC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Progressive stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $207.45 is trading 23.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $272.58. GuruFocus considers Progressive to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for LTS:0KOC:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $16.44
  • GF Value™: $272.58 vs. price of $207.45 (23.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 87/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LTS:0KOC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Progressive Business Description

Address 300 North Commons Boulevard, Mayfield Village, OH, USA, 44143
Progressive underwrites private and commercial auto insurance and specialty lines; it has almost 27 million personal auto policies in force and is one of the largest auto insurers in the United States. Progressive markets its policies through independent insurance agencies in the US and Canada and directly via the internet and telephone. Its premiums are split between the agent and the direct channel. The company also offers commercial auto policies and entered homeowners insurance through an acquisition in 2015.
87GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LTS:0KOC

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$207.45
Price
$272.58
GF Value