Arch Capital Group (MIL:1ACGL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €9.06 (As of Mar. 2026)


MIL:1ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd MIL:1ACGL
68 GF Score
Price €85.50
GF Value €101.62
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Arch Capital Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Arch Capital Group MIL:1ACGL 68 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €9.06 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MIL:1ACGL with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of €101.62 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Arch Capital Group's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was €2.838. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €9.06 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Arch Capital Group's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 16.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 22.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 23.40% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 17.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Arch Capital Group was 24.50% per year. The lowest was -3.20% per year. And the median was 10.80% per year.

As of today (2026-07-06), Arch Capital Group's current stock price is €85.50. Arch Capital Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was €9.06. Arch Capital Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 9.44.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Arch Capital Group was 16.00. The lowest was 7.41. And the median was 11.29.


Arch Capital Group  (MIL:1ACGL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Arch Capital Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=85.50/9.06
=9.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Arch Capital Group was 16.00. The lowest was 7.41. And the median was 11.29.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Arch Capital Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Arch Capital Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Arch Capital Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Arch Capital Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Arch Capital Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.53

Arch Capital Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 7.83 8.53 9.06

MIL:1ACGL vs HIG, AIG, PLGO: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Insurance - Diversified subindustry, Arch Capital Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arch Capital Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Arch Capital Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arch Capital Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MIL:1ACGL
68GF Score
Arch Capital Group Ltd MIL:1ACGL
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Arch Capital Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Arch Capital Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=2.838/330.2130*330.2130
=2.838

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Arch Capital Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.511 241.018 0.700
201609 1.171 241.428 1.602
201612 0.849 241.432 1.161
201703 0.400 243.801 0.542
201706 0.733 244.955 0.988
201709 1.081 246.819 1.446
201712 0.057 246.524 0.076
201803 0.768 249.554 1.016
201806 0.182 251.989 0.238
201809 1.287 252.439 1.684
201812 0.917 251.233 1.205
201903 0.489 254.202 0.635
201906 1.013 256.143 1.306
201909 1.801 256.759 2.316
201912 1.076 256.974 1.383
202003 1.316 258.115 1.684
202006 1.527 257.797 1.956
202009 2.077 260.280 2.635
202012 1.086 260.474 1.377
202103 1.540 264.877 1.920
202106 1.712 271.696 2.081
202109 2.145 274.310 2.582
202112 1.802 278.802 2.134
202203 1.279 287.504 1.469
202206 2.228 296.311 2.483
202209 3.692 296.808 4.108
202212 2.438 296.797 2.712
202303 2.355 301.836 2.576
202306 2.771 305.109 2.999
202309 4.838 307.789 5.190
202312 3.979 306.746 4.283
202403 3.745 312.332 3.959
202406 3.669 314.175 3.856
202409 4.728 315.301 4.952
202412 3.887 315.605 4.067
202503 3.510 319.799 3.624
202506 2.538 322.561 2.598
202509 4.925 324.800 5.007
202512 3.248 324.054 3.310
202603 2.838 330.213 2.838

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €9.06 mean?
Arch Capital Group (MIL:1ACGL) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €9.06 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Arch Capital Group and its competitors.
Is Arch Capital Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Arch Capital Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €9.06. Overall, Arch Capital Group has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Arch Capital Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to HIG and AIG?
Arch Capital Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €9.06 can be compared against companies in the Insurance industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Insurance company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Insurance industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Arch Capital Group and its competitors. Arch Capital Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €9.06. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Arch Capital Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arch Capital Group (MIL:1ACGL) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €101.62, compared to a current price of €85.50 — trading 15.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €9.06. Arch Capital Group's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Arch Capital Group (MIL:1ACGL), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €9.06 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Arch Capital Group (MIL:1ACGL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arch Capital Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €85.50 is trading 15.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of €101.62. GuruFocus considers Arch Capital Group to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MIL:1ACGL:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €9.06
  • GF Value™: €101.62 vs. price of €85.50 (15.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the MIL:1ACGL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Arch Capital Group Business Description

Address 100 Pitts Bay Road, Waterloo House, Ground Floor, Pembroke, BMU, HM 08
Arch Capital Group Ltd is a Bermuda company that writes insurance and reinsurance with operations in the United States, Canada, Europe, Australia, and the United Kingdom. The business operates through three underwriting segments: insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage. The insurance segment provides specialty risk solutions to clients across various industries. The reinsurance segment provides reinsurance services which cover property catastrophe, property, liability, marine, aviation and space, trade credit and surety, agriculture, accident, life and health, and political risk. The mortgage business provides risk management and risk financing products to the mortgage insurance sectors through platforms in the U.S., Europe and Bermuda.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MIL:1ACGL

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€85.50
Price
€101.62
GF Value