Arch Capital Group (MIL:1ACGL) Shiller PE Ratio: 14.21 (As of Sep. 02, 2026) — 23% Below Median

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MIL:1ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd MIL:1ACGL
66 GF Score
Price €84.84
GF Value €92.91
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Arch Capital Group Shiller PE Ratio?

Arch Capital Group MIL:1ACGL 66 Shiller PE Ratio is 14.21 as of Sep. 02, 2026, which is 23% below its 10-year median of 18.41. GuruFocus rates MIL:1ACGL with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of €92.91 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 368 Insurance companies, Arch Capital Group ranks better than 57.88% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-02), Arch Capital Group's current share price is €84.84. Arch Capital Group's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was €5.97. Arch Capital Group's Shiller PE Ratio for today is 14.21.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arch Capital Group's Shiller PE Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:1ACGL' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 12.09   Med: 18.41   Max: 24.96
Current: 14.54

During the past years, Arch Capital Group's highest Shiller PE Ratio was 24.96. The lowest was 12.09. And the median was 18.41.

MIL:1ACGL's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked better than
57.88% of 368 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 16.6 vs MIL:1ACGL: 14.54

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Arch Capital Group's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was €2.604. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is €5.97 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Arch Capital Group  (MIL:1ACGL) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.

Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.


Arch Capital Group Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms


Arch Capital Group Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Arch Capital Group's Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Arch Capital Group Shiller PE Ratio Chart

Arch Capital Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Shiller PE Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.93 20.90 18.34 18.38 15.63

Arch Capital Group Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Shiller PE Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.65 15.55 15.63 14.80 14.31

MIL:1ACGL vs HIG, AIG, PLGO: Shiller PE Ratio Comparison

For the Insurance - Diversified subindustry, Arch Capital Group's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arch Capital Group Shiller PE Ratio vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Arch Capital Group's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arch Capital Group's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.


MIL:1ACGL
66GF Score
Arch Capital Group Ltd MIL:1ACGL
Shiller PE Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Arch Capital Group Shiller PE Ratio Calculation

For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Arch Capital Group's Shiller PE Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/ E10
=84.84/5.97
=14.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Arch Capital Group's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Arch Capital Group's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=2.604/333.9520*333.9520
=2.604

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Arch Capital Group Quarterly Data

Earnings per Share (Diluted) CPI Adj_EPS
201609 0.588 241.428 0.813
201612 0.158 241.432 0.219
201703 0.542 243.801 0.742
201706 0.374 244.955 0.510
201709 -0.109 246.819 -0.147
201712 0.411 246.524 0.557
201803 0.268 249.554 0.359
201806 0.479 251.989 0.635
201809 0.454 252.439 0.601
201812 0.272 251.233 0.362
201903 0.947 254.202 1.244
201906 0.991 256.143 1.292
201909 0.835 256.759 1.086
201912 0.684 256.974 0.889
202003 0.290 258.115 0.375
202006 0.630 257.797 0.816
202009 0.849 260.280 1.089
202012 1.069 260.474 1.371
202103 0.882 264.877 1.112
202106 1.353 271.696 1.663
202109 0.833 274.310 1.014
202112 1.398 278.802 1.675
202203 0.436 287.504 0.506
202206 0.984 296.311 1.109
202209 0.020 296.808 0.023
202212 2.133 296.797 2.400
202303 1.747 301.836 1.933
202306 1.615 305.109 1.768
202309 1.762 307.789 1.912
202312 5.612 306.746 6.110
202403 2.686 312.332 2.872
202406 3.066 314.175 3.259
202409 2.307 315.301 2.443
202412 2.311 315.605 2.445
202503 1.369 319.799 1.430
202506 2.800 322.561 2.899
202509 3.033 324.800 3.118
202512 2.861 324.054 2.948
202603 2.491 330.213 2.519
202606 2.604 333.952 2.604

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Shiller PE Ratio →
What does a Shiller PE Ratio of 14.21 mean?
Arch Capital Group (MIL:1ACGL) has a Shiller PE Ratio of 14.21 as of Sep. 02, 2026. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on Arch Capital Group and its competitors. This is 23% below median its historical median of 18.41. Over the past decade, Arch Capital Group's Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 12.09 to 24.96. According to the industry distribution chart, Arch Capital Group ranks #155 out of 368 companies in the Insurance industry, placing it in the top 42.1%.
Is Arch Capital Group's Shiller PE Ratio too high?
Arch Capital Group's current Shiller PE Ratio of 14.21 is 23% below median its 10-year median of 18.41. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 12.09 to a high of 24.96. The Insurance industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 16.60. Arch Capital Group's value of 14.21 is 14.4% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Arch Capital Group ranks #155 out of 368 companies in the Insurance industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Arch Capital Group has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Arch Capital Group's Shiller PE Ratio compare to HIG and AIG?
According to the Insurance industry distribution chart, Arch Capital Group ranks #155 out of 368 companies for Shiller PE Ratio. This puts Arch Capital Group in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 16.60. Arch Capital Group's value of 14.21 is 14.4% below this benchmark. Historically, Arch Capital Group's own Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 12.09 to 24.96 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 18.41 vs. the industry median of 16.60, Arch Capital Group has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Shiller PE Ratio for an Insurance company?
The median Shiller PE Ratio among Insurance companies is 16.60, based on 368 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Shiller PE Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Shiller PE Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Arch Capital Group's current Shiller PE Ratio of 14.21 is 14.4% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Shiller PE Ratio mean?
A high Shiller PE Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on Arch Capital Group and its competitors. For the Insurance industry, the median Shiller PE Ratio is 16.60 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Arch Capital Group's current Shiller PE Ratio is 14.21, which is 23% below median its own 10-year median of 18.41. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Arch Capital Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arch Capital Group (MIL:1ACGL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €92.91, compared to a current price of €84.84 — trading 8.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Shiller PE Ratio is 14.21, which is 23% below median its 10-year median of 18.41 and 14.4% below the Insurance industry median of 16.60. Arch Capital Group's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Shiller PE Ratio calculated?
Shiller PE Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Arch Capital Group (MIL:1ACGL), the current Shiller PE Ratio is 14.21 as of Sep. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Arch Capital Group (MIL:1ACGL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arch Capital Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €84.84 is trading 8.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of €92.91. GuruFocus considers Arch Capital Group to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MIL:1ACGL:

  • Shiller PE Ratio: 14.21 (23% below median its 10-year median of 18.41)
  • GF Value™: €92.91 vs. price of €84.84 (8.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 14.4% below the Insurance median (#155 of 368)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MIL:1ACGL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Arch Capital Group Business Description

Address 100 Pitts Bay Road, Waterloo House, Ground Floor, Pembroke, BMU, HM 08
Arch Capital Group Ltd is a Bermuda company that writes insurance and reinsurance with operations in the United States, Canada, Europe, Australia, and the United Kingdom. The business operates through three underwriting segments: insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage. The insurance segment provides specialty risk solutions to clients across various industries. The reinsurance segment provides reinsurance services which cover property catastrophe, property, liability, marine, aviation and space, trade credit and surety, agriculture, accident, life and health, and political risk. The mortgage business provides risk management and risk financing products to the mortgage insurance sectors through platforms in the U.S., Europe and Bermuda.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MIL:1ACGL

Shiller PE Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€84.84
Price
€92.91
GF Value