MSM (MSC Industrial Direct Co) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $6.09 (As of May. 2026)

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MSM MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc MSM
81 GF Score
Price $123.82
GF Value $90.99
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is MSC Industrial Direct Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

MSC Industrial Direct Co MSM +2.09% 81 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $6.09 as of May. 2026. GuruFocus rates MSM with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of $90.99 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

MSC Industrial Direct Co's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in May. 2026 was $1.445. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $6.09 for the trailing ten years ended in May. 2026.

During the past 12 months, MSC Industrial Direct Co's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -1.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 7.60% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 7.70% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 7.20% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of MSC Industrial Direct Co was 35.20% per year. The lowest was 4.60% per year. And the median was 8.80% per year.

As of today (2026-08-15), MSC Industrial Direct Co's current stock price is $123.82. MSC Industrial Direct Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in May. 2026 was $6.09. MSC Industrial Direct Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 20.33.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of MSC Industrial Direct Co was 29.96. The lowest was 11.45. And the median was 17.78.


MSC Industrial Direct Co  (NYSE:MSM) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

MSC Industrial Direct Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=123.82/6.09
=20.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of MSC Industrial Direct Co was 29.96. The lowest was 11.45. And the median was 17.78.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


MSC Industrial Direct Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


MSC Industrial Direct Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for MSC Industrial Direct Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

MSC Industrial Direct Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

MSC Industrial Direct Co Annual Data
Trend Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24 Aug25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.61 4.94 5.72 5.99 6.16

MSC Industrial Direct Co Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.17 6.16 5.94 6.01 6.09

MSM vs POOL, CNM, REZI: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, MSC Industrial Direct Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MSC Industrial Direct Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, MSC Industrial Direct Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MSC Industrial Direct Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MSM
81GF Score
MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc MSM
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

MSC Industrial Direct Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, MSC Industrial Direct Co's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in May. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of May. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (May. 2026)
=1.445/335.1230*335.1230
=1.445

Current CPI (May. 2026) = 335.1230.

MSC Industrial Direct Co Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201608 1.031 240.849 1.435
201611 1.121 241.353 1.557
201702 0.134 243.603 0.184
201705 0.874 244.733 1.197
201708 1.392 245.519 1.900
201711 1.291 246.669 1.754
201802 0.492 248.991 0.662
201805 1.734 251.588 2.310
201808 1.683 252.146 2.237
201811 1.197 252.038 1.592
201902 0.156 252.776 0.207
201905 1.369 256.092 1.791
201908 2.265 256.558 2.959
201911 1.306 257.208 1.702
202002 1.037 258.678 1.343
202005 0.880 256.394 1.150
202008 3.058 259.918 3.943
202011 1.707 260.229 2.198
202102 0.065 263.014 0.083
202105 0.049 269.195 0.061
202108 1.232 273.567 1.509
202111 0.762 277.948 0.919
202202 -0.291 283.716 -0.344
202205 1.143 292.296 1.310
202208 1.683 296.171 1.904
202211 0.901 297.711 1.014
202302 5.810 300.840 6.472
202305 2.263 304.127 2.494
202308 1.844 307.026 2.013
202311 1.106 307.051 1.207
202402 0.946 310.326 1.022
202405 2.022 314.069 2.158
202408 1.444 314.796 1.537
202411 1.457 315.493 1.548
202502 0.442 319.082 0.464
202505 1.362 321.465 1.420
202508 1.047 323.976 1.083
202511 0.132 324.122 0.136
202602 1.307 326.785 1.340
202605 1.445 335.123 1.445

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $6.09 mean?
MSC Industrial Direct Co (MSM) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $6.09 as of May. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on MSC Industrial Direct Co and its competitors.
Is MSC Industrial Direct Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
MSC Industrial Direct Co's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $6.09. Overall, MSC Industrial Direct Co has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does MSC Industrial Direct Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to POOL and CNM?
MSC Industrial Direct Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $6.09 can be compared against companies in the Industrial Distribution industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Industrial Distribution company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Industrial Distribution industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on MSC Industrial Direct Co and its competitors. MSC Industrial Direct Co's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $6.09. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is MSC Industrial Direct Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MSC Industrial Direct Co (MSM) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $90.99, compared to a current price of $123.82 — trading 36.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $6.09. MSC Industrial Direct Co's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For MSC Industrial Direct Co (MSM), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $6.09 as of May. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is MSC Industrial Direct Co (MSM) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MSC Industrial Direct Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $123.82 is trading 36.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $90.99. GuruFocus considers MSC Industrial Direct Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MSM:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $6.09
  • GF Value™: $90.99 vs. price of $123.82 (36.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MSM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


MSC Industrial Direct Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 98M:Germany
Address 515 Broadhollow Road, Suite 1000, Melville, NY, USA, 11747
Founded in 1941, MSC Industrial Direct originally manufactured and sold cutting tools to metalworking shops in New York. Through a series of acquisitions and organic expansions, MSC has grown into an industrial distribution powerhouse with a focus on specialized metalworking products and services. The firm also distributes a wide breadth of maintenance, repair, and operations supplies. MSC primarily operates in North America, where it derives over 95% of its revenue.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MSM

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$123.82
Price
$90.99
GF Value