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MSC Industrial Direct CoMSM -0.27%81 Shiller PE Ratio is 20.50 as of Sep. 01, 2026, which is 18% above its 10-year median of 17.36. GuruFocus rates MSM with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of $93.16 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 108 Industrial Distribution companies, MSC Industrial Direct Co ranks worse than 62.04% on this metric.
The historical rank and industry rank for MSC Industrial Direct Co's Shiller PE Ratio or its related term are showing as below:
MSM'
s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 10.8 Med: 17.36 Max: 29.88
Current: 20.51
During the past years, MSC Industrial Direct Co's highest Shiller PE Ratio was 29.88. The lowest was 10.80. And the median was 17.36.
MSM's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked worse than 62.04% of 108
companies
in the Industrial Distribution industry
Industry Median: 15.5
vs MSM: 20.51
E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.
MSC Industrial Direct Co's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in May. 2026 was $1.440. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $5.80 for the trailing ten years ended in May. 2026.
Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation
MSC Industrial Direct Co (NYSE:MSM) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation
Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.
If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.
Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.
Be Aware
Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.
MSC Industrial Direct Co Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms
MSC Industrial Direct Co Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
MSM vs POOL, XMTR, CNM: Shiller PE Ratio Comparison
For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, MSC Industrial Direct Co's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
MSC Industrial Direct Co Shiller PE Ratio vs Industrial Distribution Industry
For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, MSC Industrial Direct Co's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where MSC Industrial Direct Co's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.
MSC Industrial Direct Co Shiller PE Ratio Calculation
For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.
The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.
Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.
MSC Industrial Direct Co (MSM) has a Shiller PE Ratio of 20.50 as of Sep. 01, 2026. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on MSC Industrial Direct Co and its competitors. This is 18% above median its historical median of 17.36. Over the past decade, MSC Industrial Direct Co's Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 10.80 to 29.88. According to the industry distribution chart, MSC Industrial Direct Co ranks #67 out of 108 companies in the Industrial Distribution industry, placing it in the top 62%.
Is MSC Industrial Direct Co's Shiller PE Ratio too high?
MSC Industrial Direct Co's current Shiller PE Ratio of 20.50 is 18% above median its 10-year median of 17.36. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 10.80 to a high of 29.88. The Industrial Distribution industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 15.50. MSC Industrial Direct Co's value of 20.50 is 32.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, MSC Industrial Direct Co ranks #67 out of 108 companies in the Industrial Distribution industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, MSC Industrial Direct Co has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does MSC Industrial Direct Co's Shiller PE Ratio compare to POOL and XMTR?
According to the Industrial Distribution industry distribution chart, MSC Industrial Direct Co ranks #67 out of 108 companies for Shiller PE Ratio. This places MSC Industrial Direct Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Shiller PE Ratio is 15.50. MSC Industrial Direct Co's value of 20.50 is 32.3% above this benchmark. Historically, MSC Industrial Direct Co's own Shiller PE Ratio has ranged from 10.80 to 29.88 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 17.36 vs. the industry median of 15.50, MSC Industrial Direct Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Shiller PE Ratio for an Industrial Distribution company?
The median Shiller PE Ratio among Industrial Distribution companies is 15.50, based on 108 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Shiller PE Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Shiller PE Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. MSC Industrial Direct Co's current Shiller PE Ratio of 20.50 is 32.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Shiller PE Ratio mean?
A high Shiller PE Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Shiller price-earnings ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted earnings over a 10-year period. View historical data on MSC Industrial Direct Co and its competitors. For the Industrial Distribution industry, the median Shiller PE Ratio is 15.50 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. MSC Industrial Direct Co's current Shiller PE Ratio is 20.50, which is 18% above median its own 10-year median of 17.36. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is MSC Industrial Direct Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MSC Industrial Direct Co (MSM) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $93.16, compared to a current price of $118.88 — trading 27.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Shiller PE Ratio is 20.50, which is 18% above median its 10-year median of 17.36 and 32.3% above the Industrial Distribution industry median of 15.50. MSC Industrial Direct Co's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Shiller PE Ratio calculated?
Shiller PE Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For MSC Industrial Direct Co (MSM), the current Shiller PE Ratio is 20.50 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is MSC Industrial Direct Co (MSM) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MSC Industrial Direct Co stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $118.88 is trading 27.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $93.16.
GuruFocus considers MSC Industrial Direct Co to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for MSM:
Shiller PE Ratio: 20.50 (18% above median its 10-year median of 17.36)
GF Value™: $93.16 vs. price of $118.88 (27.6% above fair value)
Industry Position: 32.3% above the Industrial Distribution median (#67 of 108)
No single metric tells the full story. See the MSM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Founded in 1941, MSC Industrial Direct originally manufactured and sold cutting tools to metalworking shops in New York. Through a series of acquisitions and organic expansions, MSC has grown into an industrial distribution powerhouse with a focus on specialized metalworking products and services. The firm also distributes a wide breadth of maintenance, repair, and operations supplies. MSC primarily operates in North America, where it derives over 95% of its revenue.
81GF Score
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