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McDonald's (NEOE:MCDS) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : C$0.69 (As of Jun. 2024)


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What is McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2024 was C$0.129. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is C$0.69 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2024.

During the past 12 months, McDonald's's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.80% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of McDonald's was 37.20% per year. The lowest was -2.30% per year. And the median was 12.20% per year.

As of today (2024-09-22), McDonald's's current stock price is C$26.01. McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2024 was C$0.69. McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 37.70.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of McDonald's was 44.92. The lowest was 24.88. And the median was 37.42.


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

McDonald's Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 0.61 0.66

McDonald's Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.64 0.66 0.66 0.68 0.69

Competitive Comparison of McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Restaurants subindustry, McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, McDonald's's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2024)
=0.129/132.5538*132.5538
=0.129

Current CPI (Jun. 2024) = 132.5538.

McDonald's Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201409 0.084 100.428 0.111
201412 0.056 99.070 0.075
201503 0.109 99.621 0.145
201506 0.091 100.684 0.120
201509 0.139 100.392 0.184
201512 0.075 99.792 0.100
201603 0.128 100.470 0.169
201606 0.085 101.688 0.111
201609 0.183 101.861 0.238
201612 0.015 101.863 0.020
201703 0.116 102.862 0.149
201706 0.088 103.349 0.113
201709 0.123 104.136 0.157
201712 0.048 104.011 0.061
201803 0.113 105.290 0.142
201806 0.078 106.317 0.097
201809 0.189 106.507 0.235
201812 0.071 105.998 0.089
201903 0.167 107.251 0.206
201906 0.147 108.070 0.180
201909 0.193 108.329 0.236
201912 0.129 108.420 0.158
202003 0.127 108.902 0.155
202006 -0.060 108.767 -0.073
202009 0.288 109.815 0.348
202012 0.167 109.897 0.201
202103 0.188 111.754 0.223
202106 0.130 114.631 0.150
202109 0.228 115.734 0.261
202112 0.216 117.630 0.243
202203 0.188 121.301 0.205
202206 0.020 125.017 0.021
202209 0.220 125.227 0.233
202212 0.198 125.222 0.210
202303 0.228 127.348 0.237
202306 0.133 128.729 0.137
202309 0.291 129.860 0.297
202312 0.204 129.419 0.209
202403 0.220 131.776 0.221
202406 0.129 132.554 0.129

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


McDonald's  (NEOE:MCDS) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=26.01/0.69
=37.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of McDonald's was 44.92. The lowest was 24.88. And the median was 37.42.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


McDonald's Business Description

Industry
Address
110 North Carpenter Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
McDonald's is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2022 system sales of $116 billion across more than 40,000 stores and 115 markets. McDonald's pioneered the franchise model, building its footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees and master franchise partners around the globe. The firm earns roughly 60% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with most of the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed markets.

McDonald's Headlines

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