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Dollar Tree (STU:DT3) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : €5.03 (As of Jan. 2025)


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What is Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Dollar Tree's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jan. 2025 was €5.285. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €5.03 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2025.

During the past 12 months, Dollar Tree's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Dollar Tree was 55.40% per year. The lowest was 10.40% per year. And the median was 18.15% per year.

As of today (2025-04-17), Dollar Tree's current stock price is €62.09. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2025 was €5.03. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 12.34.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Dollar Tree was 59.36. The lowest was 12.32. And the median was 35.20.


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Dollar Tree Annual Data
Trend Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.92 3.36 3.88 4.42 5.03

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data
Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.42 4.54 4.41 4.60 5.03

Competitive Comparison of Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


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Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Dollar Tree's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jan. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2025)
=5.285/134.0288*134.0288
=5.285

Current CPI (Jan. 2025) = 134.0288.

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201504 0.373 99.824 0.501
201507 -1.167 100.691 -1.553
201510 -0.659 100.346 -0.880
201601 2.687 99.957 3.603
201604 0.503 100.947 0.668
201607 0.724 101.524 0.956
201610 -0.462 101.988 -0.607
201701 3.584 102.456 4.688
201704 1.260 103.167 1.637
201707 0.303 103.278 0.393
201710 -0.932 104.070 -1.200
201801 2.529 104.578 3.241
201804 0.706 105.708 0.895
201807 0.601 106.324 0.758
201810 0.197 106.695 0.247
201901 1.915 106.200 2.417
201904 1.507 107.818 1.873
201907 -0.247 108.250 -0.306
201910 -0.417 108.577 -0.515
202001 2.283 108.841 2.811
202004 2.802 108.173 3.472
202007 0.887 109.318 1.088
202010 0.215 109.861 0.262
202101 2.755 110.364 3.346
202104 1.181 112.673 1.405
202107 -0.181 115.183 -0.211
202110 -0.050 116.696 -0.057
202201 0.545 118.619 0.616
202204 1.160 121.978 1.275
202207 -1.289 125.002 -1.382
202210 -0.815 125.734 -0.869
202301 4.861 126.223 5.162
202304 1.643 127.992 1.720
202307 -1.052 128.974 -1.093
202310 -0.153 129.810 -0.158
202401 5.819 130.124 5.994
202404 0.952 132.289 0.965
202407 -0.839 132.708 -0.847
202410 1.524 133.182 1.534
202501 5.285 134.029 5.285

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Dollar Tree  (STU:DT3) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=62.09/5.03
=12.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Dollar Tree was 59.36. The lowest was 12.32. And the median was 35.20.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dollar Tree Business Description

Address
500 Volvo Parkway, Chesapeake, VA, USA, 23320
Dollar Tree operates discount stores across the United States and Canada, with over 8,800 shops under its namesake banner and 7,700 under Family Dollar. About 47% of Dollar Tree's sales in fiscal 2023 were composed of consumables (including food, health and beauty, and cleaning products), around 45% from variety items (including toys and homewares), and over 5% from seasonal items. Dollar Tree sells most of its merchandise at the $1.25 price point and positions its stores in well-populated suburban markets. Conversely, Family Dollar primarily sells consumable merchandise (80% of the banner's sales) at prices below $10. About two thirds of Family Dollar's stores are in urban and suburban markets, with the remaining one third located in rural areas.

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