Philip Morris International (XSWX:PMI) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: CHF5.47 (As of Mar. 2026)


XSWX:PMI Philip Morris International Inc XSWX:PMI
86 GF Score
Price CHF145.00
GF Value CHF113.86
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Philip Morris International XSWX:PMI 86 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF5.47 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:PMI with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF113.86 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Philip Morris International's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF-0.380. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is CHF5.47 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Philip Morris International's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 3.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 2.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Philip Morris International was 5.80% per year. The lowest was 2.90% per year. And the median was 4.60% per year.

As of today (2026-07-05), Philip Morris International's current stock price is CHF145.00. Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF5.47. Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 26.51.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Philip Morris International was 27.59. The lowest was 11.38. And the median was 16.79.


Philip Morris International  (XSWX:PMI) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=145.00/5.47
=26.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Philip Morris International was 27.59. The lowest was 11.38. And the median was 16.79.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Philip Morris International Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.41 5.74 5.33 6.30 5.37

Philip Morris International Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.93 5.28 5.18 5.37 5.47

XSWX:PMI vs MO, TPB, UVV: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Tobacco subindustry, Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


XSWX:PMI
86GF Score
Philip Morris International Inc XSWX:PMI
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Philip Morris International's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-0.38/330.2130*330.2130
=-0.380

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Philip Morris International Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 1.325 241.018 1.815
201609 1.781 241.428 2.436
201612 1.125 241.432 1.539
201703 0.355 243.801 0.481
201706 1.844 244.955 2.486
201709 0.920 246.819 1.231
201712 1.505 246.524 2.016
201803 0.619 249.554 0.819
201806 2.282 251.989 2.990
201809 0.844 252.439 1.104
201812 1.332 251.233 1.751
201903 0.590 254.202 0.766
201906 2.073 256.143 2.672
201909 1.203 256.759 1.547
201912 2.001 256.974 2.571
202003 0.579 258.115 0.741
202006 1.090 257.797 1.396
202009 2.033 260.280 2.579
202012 1.720 260.474 2.181
202103 0.153 264.877 0.191
202106 2.038 271.696 2.477
202109 2.199 274.310 2.647
202112 2.213 278.802 2.621
202203 0.532 287.504 0.611
202206 2.047 296.311 2.281
202209 1.766 296.808 1.965
202212 1.648 296.797 1.834
202303 -0.735 301.836 -0.804
202306 1.787 305.109 1.934
202309 1.762 307.789 1.890
202312 1.666 306.746 1.793
202403 -0.101 312.332 -0.107
202406 2.448 314.175 2.573
202409 1.613 315.301 1.689
202412 2.134 315.605 2.233
202503 -0.428 319.799 -0.442
202506 1.595 322.561 1.633
202509 2.093 324.800 2.128
202512 2.182 324.054 2.223
202603 -0.380 330.213 -0.380

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF5.47 mean?
Philip Morris International (XSWX:PMI) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF5.47 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Philip Morris International and its competitors.
Is Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Philip Morris International's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF5.47. Overall, Philip Morris International has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to MO and TPB?
Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF5.47 can be compared against companies in the Tobacco Products industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Tobacco Products company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Tobacco Products industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Philip Morris International and its competitors. Philip Morris International's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF5.47. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Philip Morris International stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Philip Morris International (XSWX:PMI) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF113.86, compared to a current price of CHF145.00 — trading 27.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF5.47. Philip Morris International's overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Philip Morris International (XSWX:PMI), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF5.47 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Philip Morris International (XSWX:PMI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Philip Morris International stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF145.00 is trading 27.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF113.86. GuruFocus considers Philip Morris International to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:PMI:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: CHF5.47
  • GF Value™: CHF113.86 vs. price of CHF145.00 (27.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:PMI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Philip Morris International Business Description

Address 677 Washington Boulevard, Suite 1100, Stamford, CT, USA, 06901
Created from the international operations of Altria in 2008, Philip Morris International sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, including heat sticks, vapes, and oral nicotine offerings, primarily outside of the US. With the 2023 acquisition of Swedish Match, a leading manufacturer of traditional oral tobacco products and nicotine pouches primarily in the US and Scandinavia, PMI is not only dominant in smokable products but also has the Iqos and Zyn brands, which respectively dominate heated tobacco and nicotine pouches in most markets. It also owns the Veev brand in vapes.
86GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:PMI

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF145.00
Price
CHF113.86
GF Value