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Japan TobaccoJAPAY -0.48%81 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 3.10 as of Jul. 16, 2026, which is 37% above its 10-year median of 2.27. GuruFocus rates JAPAY with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of $15.64 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 31 Tobacco Products companies, Japan Tobacco ranks worse than 58.06% on this metric.
The historical rank and industry rank for Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:
JAPAY'
s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.41 Med: 2.27 Max: 3.91
Current: 3.21
During the past years, Japan Tobacco's highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 3.91. The lowest was 1.41. And the median was 2.27.
JAPAY's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked worse than 58.06% of 31
companies
in the Tobacco Products industry
Industry Median: 2.6
vs JAPAY: 3.21
The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.
Japan Tobacco's adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $7.251. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is $6.07 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.
Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation
Japan Tobacco (OTCPK:JAPAY) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation
Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.
If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.
Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms
Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data
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The historical data trend for Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
JAPAY vs PM, MO, TPB: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison
For the Tobacco subindustry, Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Tobacco Products Industry
For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.
Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation
Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.
The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.
Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.
What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 3.10 mean?
Japan Tobacco (JAPAY) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 3.10 as of Jul. 16, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Japan Tobacco and its competitors. This is 37% above median its historical median of 2.27. Over the past decade, Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 1.41 to 3.91. According to the industry distribution chart, Japan Tobacco ranks #18 out of 31 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, placing it in the top 58.1%.
Is Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
Japan Tobacco's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 3.10 is 37% above median its 10-year median of 2.27. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.41 to a high of 3.91. The Tobacco Products industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 2.60. Japan Tobacco's value of 3.10 is 19.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Japan Tobacco ranks #18 out of 31 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Japan Tobacco has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to PM and MO?
According to the Tobacco Products industry distribution chart, Japan Tobacco ranks #18 out of 31 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This places Japan Tobacco in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 2.60. Japan Tobacco's value of 3.10 is 19.2% above this benchmark. Historically, Japan Tobacco's own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 1.41 to 3.91 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.27 vs. the industry median of 2.60, Japan Tobacco has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for a Tobacco Products company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Tobacco Products companies is 2.60, based on 31 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Japan Tobacco's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 3.10 is 19.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Japan Tobacco and its competitors. For the Tobacco Products industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 2.60 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Japan Tobacco's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 3.10, which is 37% above median its own 10-year median of 2.27. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Japan Tobacco stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Japan Tobacco (JAPAY) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $15.64, compared to a current price of $18.83 — trading 20.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 3.10, which is 37% above median its 10-year median of 2.27 and 19.2% above the Tobacco Products industry median of 2.60. Japan Tobacco's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Japan Tobacco (JAPAY), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 3.10 as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Japan Tobacco (JAPAY) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Japan Tobacco stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $18.83 is trading 20.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $15.64.
GuruFocus considers Japan Tobacco to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for JAPAY:
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 3.10 (37% above median its 10-year median of 2.27)
GF Value™: $15.64 vs. price of $18.83 (20.4% above fair value)
Industry Position: 19.2% above the Tobacco Products median (#18 of 31)
No single metric tells the full story. See the JAPAY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Japan Tobacco primarily sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, organized in three clusters consisting of Asia (which includes its home market and countries in Asia Pacific), Western Europe, and EMA (which includes Eastern Europe, the Middle East North Africa, Turkey, Americas, and duty-free). Its leading cigarette brands include Winston (non-US), Camel (non-US), Mevius, and LD. Its reduced-risk brands include Logic in vaping, Ploom in heated tobacco, and Nordic Spirit in nicotine pouches, though these generates less than 5% of tobacco sales.
81GF Score
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Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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