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JAPAY (Japan Tobacco) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $0.81 (As of Mar. 2025)


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What is Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Japan Tobacco's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was $-0.070. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $0.81 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2025.

During the past 12 months, Japan Tobacco's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 7.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 5.10% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.80% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Japan Tobacco was 6.60% per year. The lowest was 3.60% per year. And the median was 5.05% per year.

As of today (2025-05-15), Japan Tobacco's current stock price is $14.7955. Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 was $0.81. Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 18.27.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Japan Tobacco was 28.89. The lowest was 9.54. And the median was 14.76.


Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Japan Tobacco Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.94 0.87 0.80 0.80 0.73

Japan Tobacco Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.74 0.75 0.82 0.73 0.81

Competitive Comparison of Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Tobacco subindustry, Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


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Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Japan Tobacco's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2025)
=-0.07/111.1000*111.1000
=-0.070

Current CPI (Mar. 2025) = 111.1000.

Japan Tobacco Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201506 0.342 98.400 0.386
201509 0.301 98.500 0.340
201512 0.531 98.100 0.601
201603 -0.488 97.900 -0.554
201606 0.107 98.100 0.121
201609 0.439 98.000 0.498
201612 0.631 98.400 0.712
201703 -0.248 98.100 -0.281
201706 0.206 98.500 0.232
201709 0.646 98.800 0.726
201712 0.101 99.400 0.113
201803 0.127 99.200 0.142
201806 0.283 99.200 0.317
201809 0.401 99.900 0.446
201812 -0.046 99.700 -0.051
201903 0.226 99.700 0.252
201906 0.188 99.800 0.209
201909 0.012 100.100 0.013
201912 0.622 100.500 0.688
202003 -0.082 100.300 -0.091
202006 0.284 99.900 0.316
202009 0.655 99.900 0.728
202012 0.240 99.300 0.269
202103 -0.025 99.900 -0.028
202106 0.352 99.500 0.393
202109 0.584 100.100 0.648
202112 0.345 100.100 0.383
202203 0.046 101.100 0.051
202206 0.106 101.800 0.116
202209 0.411 103.100 0.443
202212 0.220 104.100 0.235
202303 0.056 104.400 0.060
202306 0.258 105.200 0.272
202309 0.487 106.200 0.509
202312 0.075 106.800 0.078
202403 0.062 107.200 0.064
202406 0.293 108.200 0.301
202409 0.180 108.900 0.184
202412 0.349 110.700 0.350
202503 -0.070 111.100 -0.070

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Japan Tobacco  (OTCPK:JAPAY) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=14.7955/0.81
=18.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Japan Tobacco was 28.89. The lowest was 9.54. And the median was 14.76.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Japan Tobacco Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2-1, Toranomon 2-chome, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 105-8422
Japan Tobacco primarily sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, organized in three clusters consisting of Asia (which includes its home market and countries in Asia Pacific), Western Europe, and EMA (which includes Eastern Europe, the Middle East North Africa, Turkey, Americas, and duty-free). Its leading cigarette brands include Winston (non-US), Camel (non-US), Mevius, and LD. Its reduced-risk brands include Logic in vaping and Ploom in heated tobacco, though this category generates less than 5% of tobacco sales.