Toly Bread Co (SHSE:603866) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 1.55 (As of Aug. 31, 2026) — 31% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

SHSE:603866 Toly Bread Co Ltd SHSE:603866
70 GF Score
Price ¥4.25
GF Value ¥5.23
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Toly Bread Co Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio?

Toly Bread Co SHSE:603866 -2.30% 70 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.55 as of Aug. 31, 2026, which is 31% below its 10-year median of 2.25. GuruFocus rates SHSE:603866 with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥5.23 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 217 Retail - Defensive companies, Toly Bread Co ranks better than 52.07% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-31), Toly Bread Co's current share price is ¥4.25. Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was ¥2.75. Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is 1.55.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:603866' s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.37   Med: 2.25   Max: 3.89
Current: 1.58

During the past years, Toly Bread Co's highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 3.89. The lowest was 1.37. And the median was 2.25.

SHSE:603866's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked better than
52.07% of 217 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 1.62 vs SHSE:603866: 1.58

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Toly Bread Co's adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was ¥3.147. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is ¥2.75 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Toly Bread Co  (SHSE:603866) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.


Toly Bread Co Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms


Toly Bread Co Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toly Bread Co Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Chart

Toly Bread Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 3.37 2.73 1.98

Toly Bread Co Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.13 2.07 1.98 1.86 1.34

SHSE:603866 vs KR: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toly Bread Co Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


SHSE:603866
70GF Score
Toly Bread Co Ltd SHSE:603866
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Toly Bread Co Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.

Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=4.25/2.75
=1.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Toly Bread Co's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_Book=Book Value per Share/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=3.147/116.0564*116.0564
=3.147

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 116.0564.

Toly Bread Co Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201609 1.313 102.400 1.488
201612 1.388 102.600 1.570
201703 1.436 103.200 1.615
201706 1.420 103.100 1.598
201709 1.471 104.100 1.640
201712 2.036 104.500 2.261
201803 2.106 105.300 2.321
201806 1.963 104.900 2.172
201809 2.092 106.600 2.278
201812 2.215 106.500 2.414
201903 2.286 107.700 2.463
201906 2.100 107.700 2.263
201909 2.327 109.800 2.460
201912 2.415 111.200 2.520
202003 2.541 112.300 2.626
202006 2.261 110.400 2.377
202009 2.898 111.700 3.011
202012 3.021 111.500 3.144
202103 3.124 112.662 3.218
202106 2.832 111.769 2.941
202109 2.960 112.215 3.061
202112 3.085 113.108 3.165
202203 3.187 114.335 3.235
202206 2.958 114.558 2.997
202209 3.044 115.339 3.063
202212 3.142 115.116 3.168
202303 3.232 115.116 3.258
202306 2.997 114.558 3.036
202309 3.105 115.339 3.124
202312 3.180 114.781 3.215
202403 3.254 115.227 3.277
202406 3.183 114.781 3.218
202409 3.154 115.785 3.161
202412 3.208 114.893 3.240
202503 3.261 115.116 3.288
202506 3.206 114.907 3.238
202509 3.265 115.471 3.282
202512 3.256 115.832 3.262
202603 3.288 116.303 3.281
202606 3.147 116.056 3.147

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.55 mean?
Toly Bread Co (SHSE:603866) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.55 as of Aug. 31, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Toly Bread Co and its competitors. This is 31% below median its historical median of 2.25. Over the past decade, Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 1.37 to 3.89. According to the industry distribution chart, Toly Bread Co ranks #104 out of 217 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 47.9%.
Is Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
Toly Bread Co's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.55 is 31% below median its 10-year median of 2.25. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.37 to a high of 3.89. The Retail - Defensive industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.62. Toly Bread Co's value of 1.55 is 4.3% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Toly Bread Co ranks #104 out of 217 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Toly Bread Co has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to KR?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Toly Bread Co ranks #104 out of 217 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This puts Toly Bread Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.62. Toly Bread Co's value of 1.55 is 4.3% below this benchmark. Historically, Toly Bread Co's own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 1.37 to 3.89 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.25 vs. the industry median of 1.62, Toly Bread Co has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Retail - Defensive companies is 1.62, based on 217 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Toly Bread Co's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.55 is 4.3% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Toly Bread Co and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.62 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Toly Bread Co's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.55, which is 31% below median its own 10-year median of 2.25. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toly Bread Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toly Bread Co (SHSE:603866) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥5.23, compared to a current price of ¥4.25 — trading 18.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.55, which is 31% below median its 10-year median of 2.25 and 4.3% below the Retail - Defensive industry median of 1.62. Toly Bread Co's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toly Bread Co (SHSE:603866), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.55 as of Aug. 31, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toly Bread Co (SHSE:603866) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toly Bread Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ¥4.25 is trading 18.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of ¥5.23. GuruFocus considers Toly Bread Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for SHSE:603866:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 1.55 (31% below median its 10-year median of 2.25)
  • GF Value™: ¥5.23 vs. price of ¥4.25 (18.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 4.3% below the Retail - Defensive median (#104 of 217)

No single metric tells the full story. See the SHSE:603866 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Toly Bread Co Business Description

Address No. 176, Clove Street, Liaoning Province, Sujiatun District, Shenyang, CHN
Toly Bread Co Ltd is a China-based company engaged in the production, processing, and sale of baked goods such as bread, cakes, moon cakes, and dumplings. Its products portfolio includes peach and plum, peach bread and peach moon cake.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SHSE:603866

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥4.25
Price
¥5.23
GF Value