Toly Bread Co (SHSE:603866) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.12 (As of Aug. 22, 2026) — 29% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

SHSE:603866 Toly Bread Co Ltd SHSE:603866
70 GF Score
Price ¥4.13
GF Value ¥5.37
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Toly Bread Co Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Toly Bread Co SHSE:603866 -2.13% 70 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.12 as of Aug. 22, 2026, which is 29% below its 10-year median of 1.58. GuruFocus rates SHSE:603866 with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥5.37 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 242 Retail - Defensive companies, Toly Bread Co ranks worse than 76.86% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-22), Toly Bread Co's current share price is ¥4.13. Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was ¥3.70. Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 1.12.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:603866' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1   Med: 1.58   Max: 2.53
Current: 1.11

During the past years, Toly Bread Co's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 2.53. The lowest was 1.00. And the median was 1.58.

SHSE:603866's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than
76.86% of 242 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 0.45 vs SHSE:603866: 1.11

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Toly Bread Co's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was ¥0.731. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is ¥3.70 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Toly Bread Co  (SHSE:603866) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Toly Bread Co Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Toly Bread Co Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toly Bread Co Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Toly Bread Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 2.22 1.88 1.43

Toly Bread Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.60 1.51 1.49 1.43 1.36

SHSE:603866 vs KR: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toly Bread Co Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


SHSE:603866
70GF Score
Toly Bread Co Ltd SHSE:603866
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Toly Bread Co Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=4.13/3.70
=1.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Toly Bread Co's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.731/116.3033*116.3033
=0.731

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 116.3033.

Toly Bread Co Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201606 0.548 101.400 0.629
201609 0.619 102.400 0.703
201612 0.633 102.600 0.718
201703 0.559 103.200 0.630
201706 0.675 103.100 0.761
201709 0.769 104.100 0.859
201712 0.758 104.500 0.844
201803 0.638 105.300 0.705
201806 0.760 104.900 0.843
201809 0.876 106.600 0.956
201812 0.844 106.500 0.922
201903 0.737 107.700 0.796
201906 0.913 107.700 0.986
201909 1.009 109.800 1.069
201912 0.983 111.200 1.028
202003 0.854 112.300 0.884
202006 0.914 110.400 0.963
202009 1.054 111.700 1.097
202012 1.002 111.500 1.045
202103 0.829 112.662 0.856
202106 1.008 111.769 1.049
202109 1.078 112.215 1.117
202112 1.045 113.108 1.075
202203 0.908 114.335 0.924
202206 1.096 114.558 1.113
202209 1.139 115.339 1.149
202212 1.037 115.116 1.048
202303 0.922 115.116 0.932
202306 1.082 114.558 1.098
202309 1.163 115.339 1.173
202312 1.058 114.781 1.072
202403 0.875 115.227 0.883
202406 1.013 114.781 1.026
202409 1.018 115.785 1.023
202412 0.900 114.893 0.911
202503 0.750 115.116 0.758
202506 0.882 114.907 0.893
202509 0.898 115.471 0.904
202512 0.874 115.832 0.878
202603 0.731 116.303 0.731

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.12 mean?
Toly Bread Co (SHSE:603866) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.12 as of Aug. 22, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Toly Bread Co and its competitors. This is 29% below median its historical median of 1.58. Over the past decade, Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 1.00 to 2.53. According to the industry distribution chart, Toly Bread Co ranks #186 out of 242 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 76.9%.
Is Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Toly Bread Co's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.12 is 29% below median its 10-year median of 1.58. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.00 to a high of 2.53. The Retail - Defensive industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.45. Toly Bread Co's value of 1.12 is 148.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Toly Bread Co ranks #186 out of 242 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Toly Bread Co has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toly Bread Co's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to KR?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Toly Bread Co ranks #186 out of 242 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Toly Bread Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.45. Toly Bread Co's value of 1.12 is 148.9% above this benchmark. Historically, Toly Bread Co's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 1.00 to 2.53 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.58 vs. the industry median of 0.45, Toly Bread Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Retail - Defensive companies is 0.45, based on 242 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Toly Bread Co's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.12 is 148.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Toly Bread Co and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.45 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Toly Bread Co's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.12, which is 29% below median its own 10-year median of 1.58. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toly Bread Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toly Bread Co (SHSE:603866) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥5.37, compared to a current price of ¥4.13 — trading 23.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.12, which is 29% below median its 10-year median of 1.58 and 148.9% above the Retail - Defensive industry median of 0.45. Toly Bread Co's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toly Bread Co (SHSE:603866), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.12 as of Aug. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toly Bread Co (SHSE:603866) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toly Bread Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ¥4.13 is trading 23.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of ¥5.37. GuruFocus considers Toly Bread Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for SHSE:603866:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.12 (29% below median its 10-year median of 1.58)
  • GF Value™: ¥5.37 vs. price of ¥4.13 (23.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 148.9% above the Retail - Defensive median (#186 of 242)

No single metric tells the full story. See the SHSE:603866 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Toly Bread Co Business Description

Address No. 176, Clove Street, Liaoning Province, Sujiatun District, Shenyang, CHN
Toly Bread Co Ltd is a China-based company engaged in the production, processing, and sale of baked goods such as bread, cakes, moon cakes, and dumplings. Its products portfolio includes peach and plum, peach bread and peach moon cake.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SHSE:603866

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

¥4.13
Price
¥5.37
GF Value