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McDonald's (BSP:MCDC34) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 41.74 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-12-15), McDonald's's current share price is R$90.58. McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2024 was R$2.17. McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 41.74.

The historical rank and industry rank for McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:MCDC34' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 24.88   Med: 37.8   Max: 44.92
Current: 37.48

During the past years, McDonald's's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 44.92. The lowest was 24.88. And the median was 37.80.

BSP:MCDC34's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
87.29% of 118 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 13.305 vs BSP:MCDC34: 37.48

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2024 was R$0.747. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is R$2.17 for the trailing ten years ended in Sep. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

McDonald's Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 38.49 40.07 43.41 38.60 39.59

McDonald's Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 35.58 39.59 36.61 32.78 38.48

Competitive Comparison of McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Restaurants subindustry, McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=90.58/2.17
=41.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, McDonald's's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Sep. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Sep. 2024)
=0.747/133.0289*133.0289
=0.747

Current CPI (Sep. 2024) = 133.0289.

McDonald's Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201412 0.100 99.070 0.134
201503 0.213 99.621 0.284
201506 0.178 100.684 0.235
201509 0.320 100.392 0.424
201512 0.166 99.792 0.221
201603 0.279 100.470 0.369
201606 0.176 101.688 0.230
201609 0.354 101.861 0.462
201612 0.029 101.863 0.038
201703 0.212 102.862 0.274
201706 0.170 103.349 0.219
201709 0.244 104.136 0.312
201712 0.096 104.011 0.123
201803 0.224 105.290 0.283
201806 0.174 106.317 0.218
201809 0.466 106.507 0.582
201812 0.159 105.998 0.200
201903 0.375 107.251 0.465
201906 0.333 108.070 0.410
201909 0.469 108.329 0.576
201912 0.314 108.420 0.385
202003 0.346 108.902 0.423
202006 -0.180 108.767 -0.220
202009 0.918 109.815 1.112
202012 0.524 109.897 0.634
202103 0.659 111.754 0.784
202106 0.418 114.631 0.485
202109 0.742 115.734 0.853
202112 0.745 117.630 0.843
202203 0.576 121.301 0.632
202206 0.061 125.017 0.065
202209 0.675 125.227 0.717
202212 0.596 125.222 0.633
202303 0.679 127.348 0.709
202306 0.379 128.729 0.392
202309 0.830 129.860 0.850
202312 0.583 129.419 0.599
202403 0.632 131.776 0.638
202406 0.396 132.554 0.397
202409 0.747 133.029 0.747

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


McDonald's  (BSP:MCDC34) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


McDonald's Business Description

Industry
Address
110 North Carpenter Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
McDonald's is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2023 system sales of $130 billion across nearly than 42,000 stores and 115 markets. McDonald's pioneered the franchise model, building its footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees and master franchise partners around the globe. The firm earns roughly 60% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with most of the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed markets.

McDonald's Headlines

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