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Watsco (FRA:WC3) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 34.61 (As of Jun. 04, 2025)


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What is Watsco Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2025-06-04), Watsco's current share price is €390.40. Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 was €11.28. Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 34.61.

The historical rank and industry rank for Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:WC3' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 24.35   Med: 33.47   Max: 46.9
Current: 36.44

During the past years, Watsco's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 46.90. The lowest was 24.35. And the median was 33.47.

FRA:WC3's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
71.43% of 84 companies
in the Industrial Distribution industry
Industry Median: 21.84 vs FRA:WC3: 36.44

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Watsco's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was €-4.525. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €11.28 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2025.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Watsco Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Watsco Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Watsco Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 32.91 38.60 26.31 40.15 38.07

Watsco Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 39.14 39.86 41.57 38.07 41.64

Competitive Comparison of Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


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Watsco Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=390.40/11.28
=34.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 is calculated as:

For example, Watsco's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2025)
=-4.525/134.9266*134.9266
=-4.525

Current CPI (Mar. 2025) = 134.9266.

Watsco Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201506 -1.889 100.684 -2.531
201509 4.604 100.392 6.188
201512 3.388 99.792 4.581
201603 1.079 100.470 1.449
201606 -0.076 101.688 -0.101
201609 2.756 101.861 3.651
201612 2.927 101.863 3.877
201703 0.863 102.862 1.132
201706 -0.149 103.349 -0.195
201709 3.865 104.136 5.008
201712 2.868 104.011 3.720
201803 -1.066 105.290 -1.366
201806 0.424 106.317 0.538
201809 2.124 106.507 2.691
201812 2.459 105.998 3.130
201903 1.255 107.251 1.579
201906 0.268 108.070 0.335
201909 3.244 108.329 4.040
201912 3.458 108.420 4.303
202003 0.982 108.902 1.217
202006 5.451 108.767 6.762
202009 2.601 109.815 3.196
202012 3.653 109.897 4.485
202103 -1.012 111.754 -1.222
202106 2.658 114.631 3.129
202109 5.565 115.734 6.488
202112 0.529 117.630 0.607
202203 -2.812 121.301 -3.128
202206 4.369 125.017 4.715
202209 7.902 125.227 8.514
202212 5.327 125.222 5.740
202303 -1.413 127.348 -1.497
202306 -1.269 128.729 -1.330
202309 8.782 129.860 9.125
202312 7.190 129.419 7.496
202403 2.433 131.776 2.491
202406 1.267 132.554 1.290
202409 5.333 133.029 5.409
202412 9.385 133.157 9.510
202503 -4.525 134.927 -4.525

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Watsco  (FRA:WC3) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Watsco Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Watsco Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2665 South Bayshore Drive, Suite 901, Miami, FL, USA, 33133
Watsco is the largest heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration products distributor in North America. The company primarily operates in the United States (90% of revenue) with significant exposure in the Sunbelt states. Watsco also has operations in Canada (5% of sales) and Latin America (5% of sales). The company's customer base consists of more than 125,000 contractors that serve the replacement and new construction HVACR markets for residential and light commercial applications.

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