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Watsco (FRA:WC3) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 44.09 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Watsco Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-26), Watsco's current share price is €450.20. Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €10.21. Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 44.09.

The historical rank and industry rank for Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:WC3' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 24.35   Med: 32.43   Max: 44.36
Current: 44.36

During the past years, Watsco's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 44.36. The lowest was 24.35. And the median was 32.43.

FRA:WC3's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
67.9% of 81 companies
in the Industrial Distribution industry
Industry Median: 26.16 vs FRA:WC3: 44.36

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Watsco's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €2.433. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €10.21 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Watsco Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Watsco Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Watsco Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.61 32.91 38.60 26.31 40.15

Watsco Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 33.24 38.95 36.63 40.15 39.14

Competitive Comparison of Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Watsco Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=450.20/10.21
=44.09

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Watsco's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=2.433/131.7762*131.7762
=2.433

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Watsco Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -2.142 100.560 -2.807
201409 2.480 100.428 3.254
201412 2.277 99.070 3.029
201503 -0.567 99.621 -0.750
201506 -1.889 100.684 -2.472
201509 4.604 100.392 6.043
201512 3.388 99.792 4.474
201603 1.079 100.470 1.415
201606 -0.076 101.688 -0.098
201609 2.756 101.861 3.565
201612 2.927 101.863 3.787
201703 0.863 102.862 1.106
201706 -0.149 103.349 -0.190
201709 3.865 104.136 4.891
201712 2.868 104.011 3.634
201803 -1.066 105.290 -1.334
201806 0.424 106.317 0.526
201809 2.124 106.507 2.628
201812 2.459 105.998 3.057
201903 1.255 107.251 1.542
201906 0.268 108.070 0.327
201909 3.244 108.329 3.946
201912 3.458 108.420 4.203
202003 0.982 108.902 1.188
202006 5.451 108.767 6.604
202009 2.601 109.815 3.121
202012 3.653 109.897 4.380
202103 -1.012 111.754 -1.193
202106 2.658 114.631 3.056
202109 5.565 115.734 6.336
202112 0.529 117.630 0.593
202203 -2.812 121.301 -3.055
202206 4.369 125.017 4.605
202209 7.902 125.227 8.315
202212 5.327 125.222 5.606
202303 -1.413 127.348 -1.462
202306 -1.269 128.729 -1.299
202309 8.782 129.860 8.912
202312 7.190 129.419 7.321
202403 2.433 131.776 2.433

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Watsco  (FRA:WC3) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Watsco Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Watsco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Watsco (FRA:WC3) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2665 South Bayshore Drive, Suite 901, Miami, FL, USA, 33133
Watsco is the largest heating, ventilation, air-conditioning, and refrigeration products distributor in North America. The company primarily operates in the United States (91% of 2022 revenue) with significant exposure in the Sunbelt states. Watsco also has operations in Canada (5% of sales) and Latin America and the Caribbean (4% of sales). The company's customer base consists of more than 120,000 dealers and contractors that serve the replacement and new construction HVACR markets for residential and light commercial applications.

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