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MTR (HKSE:00066) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 117.50 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is MTR Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-01), MTR's current share price is HK$25.85. MTR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the fiscal year that ended in Dec23 was HK$0.22. MTR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 117.50.

The historical rank and industry rank for MTR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00066' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 77.36   Med: 122.43   Max: 202.83
Current: 114.23

During the past 13 years, MTR's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 202.83. The lowest was 77.36. And the median was 122.43.

HKSE:00066's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
92.14% of 420 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 18.235 vs HKSE:00066: 114.23

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

MTR's adjusted free cash flow per share data of for the fiscal year that ended in Dec23 was HK$-0.222. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is HK$0.22 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec23.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


MTR Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for MTR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MTR Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

MTR Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 100.96 124.74 121.21 165.12 137.62

MTR Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 121.21 - 165.12 - 137.62

Competitive Comparison of MTR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Railroads subindustry, MTR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MTR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, MTR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MTR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



MTR Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

MTR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=25.85/0.22
=117.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

MTR's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the fiscal year that ended in Dec23 is calculated as:

For example, MTR's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the fiscal year that ended in Dec23 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Dec23 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec23)
=-0.222/117.2957*117.2957
=-0.222

Current CPI (Dec23) = 117.2957.

MTR Annual Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201412 0.505 99.707 0.594
201512 -1.277 102.015 -1.468
201612 0.754 103.225 0.857
201712 1.733 104.984 1.936
201812 0.742 107.622 0.809
201912 1.784 110.700 1.890
202012 -1.376 109.711 -1.471
202112 -0.051 112.349 -0.053
202212 -0.654 114.548 -0.670
202312 -0.222 117.296 -0.222

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


MTR  (HKSE:00066) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


MTR Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MTR's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


MTR (HKSE:00066) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
33 Wai Yip Street, MTR Headquarters Building, GPO Box 9916, Telford Plaza, Kowloon Bay, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
MTR constructs and operates Hong Kong's rail network, giving it a monopoly position. In addition to rail operation, the firm makes recurring income from commercial business within the stations. This includes rental of retail outlets and advertisement within the station and investment properties in shopping malls above stations. Residential real estate development forms part of MTR's return for the rail operation. Average operating profit, in a normalized environment, is approximately 20% in rail operation, 60% in station commercial and property leasing business, and 20% in property development. The Hong Kong government owns 75% of MTR.

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