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Tesla (LIM:TSLA) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : (As of Jun. 15, 2024)


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What is Tesla Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Tesla Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tesla Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Tesla Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 3,694.05

Tesla Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 21,828.95 3,694.05 107,320.10

Competitive Comparison of Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Tesla Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Tesla's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=-0.728/131.7762*131.7762
=-0.728

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Tesla Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -0.095 100.560 -0.124
201409 -0.167 100.428 -0.219
201412 -0.242 99.070 -0.322
201503 -0.295 99.621 -0.390
201506 -0.297 100.684 -0.389
201509 -0.308 100.392 -0.404
201512 -0.224 99.792 -0.296
201603 -0.234 100.470 -0.307
201606 -0.069 101.688 -0.089
201609 0.075 101.861 0.097
201612 -0.485 101.863 -0.627
201703 -0.346 102.862 -0.443
201706 -0.548 103.349 -0.699
201709 -0.616 104.136 -0.780
201712 -0.156 104.011 -0.198
201803 -0.444 105.290 -0.556
201806 -0.316 106.317 -0.392
201809 0.312 106.507 0.386
201812 0.341 105.998 0.424
201903 -0.364 107.251 -0.447
201906 0.223 108.070 0.272
201909 0.125 108.329 0.152
201912 0.361 108.420 0.439
202003 -0.309 108.902 -0.374
202006 0.128 108.767 0.155
202009 0.414 109.815 0.497
202012 0.534 109.897 0.640
202103 -0.359 111.754 -0.423
202106 0.181 114.631 0.208
202109 0.392 115.734 0.446
202112 0.822 117.630 0.921
202203 0.638 121.301 0.693
202206 0.179 125.017 0.189
202209 0.951 125.227 1.001
202212 0.408 125.222 0.429
202303 0.127 127.348 0.131
202306 0.289 128.729 0.296
202309 0.243 129.860 0.247
202312 0.590 129.419 0.601
202403 -0.728 131.776 -0.728

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Tesla  (LIM:TSLA) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Tesla Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

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Tesla (LIM:TSLA) Business Description

Industry
Address
1 Tesla Road, Austin, TX, USA, 78725
Founded in 2003 and based in Palo Alto, California, Tesla is a vertically integrated sustainable energy company that also aims to transition the world to electric mobility by making electric vehicles. The company sells solar panels and solar roofs for energy generation plus batteries for stationary storage for residential and commercial properties including utilities. Tesla has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include luxury and midsize sedans and crossover SUVs. The company also plans to begin selling more affordable sedans and small SUVs, a light truck, a semi truck, and a sports car. Global deliveries in 2022 were a little over 1.3 million vehicles.

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