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Shell (XBUL:R6C0) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 10.22 (As of Jun. 03, 2025)


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What is Shell Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2025-06-03), Shell's current share price is лв30.87. Shell's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 was лв3.02. Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 10.22.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XBUL:R6C0' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 7.53   Med: 14.67   Max: 46.83
Current: 8.86

During the past years, Shell's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 46.83. The lowest was 7.53. And the median was 14.67.

XBUL:R6C0's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked better than
62.59% of 401 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 12.8 vs XBUL:R6C0: 8.86

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Shell's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was лв1.556. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is лв3.02 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2025.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Shell Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shell Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Shell Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.31 11.27 12.16 10.94 9.22

Shell Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.95 11.26 9.40 9.22 10.22

Competitive Comparison of Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


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Shell Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=30.87/3.02
=10.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Shell's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 is calculated as:

For example, Shell's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2025)
=1.556/136.1000*136.1000
=1.556

Current CPI (Mar. 2025) = 136.1000.

Shell Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201506 -0.042 100.100 -0.057
201509 1.289 100.200 1.751
201512 -0.500 100.400 -0.678
201603 -1.104 100.400 -1.497
201606 -0.745 101.000 -1.004
201609 0.678 101.500 0.909
201612 0.724 102.200 0.964
201703 1.083 102.700 1.435
201706 1.161 103.500 1.527
201709 0.527 104.300 0.688
201712 0.290 105.000 0.376
201803 0.957 105.100 1.239
201806 0.863 105.900 1.109
201809 1.289 106.600 1.646
201812 3.071 107.100 3.903
201903 0.731 107.000 0.930
201906 1.235 107.900 1.558
201909 1.328 108.400 1.667
201912 0.765 108.500 0.960
202003 2.318 108.600 2.905
202006 -0.192 108.800 -0.240
202009 1.471 109.200 1.833
202012 0.238 109.400 0.296
202103 0.964 109.700 1.196
202106 1.832 111.400 2.238
202109 2.505 112.400 3.033
202112 0.427 114.700 0.507
202203 2.363 116.500 2.761
202206 2.727 120.500 3.080
202209 1.695 122.300 1.886
202212 3.841 125.300 4.172
202303 1.961 126.800 2.105
202306 2.626 129.400 2.762
202309 1.797 130.100 1.880
202312 1.448 130.500 1.510
202403 2.460 131.600 2.544
202406 2.242 133.000 2.294
202409 2.706 133.500 2.759
202412 1.840 135.100 1.854
202503 1.556 136.100 1.556

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Shell  (XBUL:R6C0) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Shell Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Shell Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Shell PLC (XBUL:R6C0) » Definitions » Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Address
Shell Centre, London, GBR, SE1 7NA
Shell is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil around the world. In 2023, it produced 1.5 million barrels of liquids and 7.3 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At end-2023, reserves stood at 9.6 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 49% of which, consisted of liquids. Its production and reserves are in Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, and North and South America. The company operates refineries with capacity of 1.6 mmb/d located in the Americas, Asia, Africa, and Europe and sells about 12 million tons per year of chemicals. Its largest chemical plants, often integrated with its local refineries, are in Central Europe, China, Singapore, and North America.

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